Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.25
assuming max odds 7.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alina Korneeva (Local): 78.75%; Fiona Crawley (Visit): 21.25%. For Fiona Crawley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.71. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +48.73%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -13.37%E -12.16%K -133.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +48.73%E +6.96%K +8.12%G +3.96% | 5.2% | 2026-06-25 10:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -13.37%E -12.16%K -133.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +38.10%E +5.86%K +6.93%G +2.64% | 6.3% | 2026-06-25 10:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.46%EV -13.37%E -12.16%K -133.71%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.54%EV +17.92%E +3.23%K +3.94%G +0.706% | 8.9% | 2026-06-25 10:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -10.22%E -8.97%K -73.01%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV +10.48%E +2.02%K +2.50%G +0.262% | 7.0% | 2026-06-25 10:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.61%EV -9.43%E -8.20%K -62.89%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.39%EV +1.56%E +0.326%K +0.413%G +0.006% | 7.9% | 2026-06-25 10:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.13%E -2.55%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.92%E -3.21%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.92%E -3.21%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-25 10:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -1.56%E -1.25%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -11.61%E -2.79%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -7.86%E -6.72%K -46.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-25 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -3.92%E -3.21%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -13.95%E -3.44%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.92%E -3.21%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.50%E -4.58%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-25 10:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.31%EV -7.07%E -5.99%K -39.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -19.26%E -5.07%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-06-25 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-06-25 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94% | 1.7% | 2026-06-25 10:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36% | 2.4% | 2026-06-25 10:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |