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Alina Korneeva v Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alina Korneeva (Local)
assuming max odds 1.44
Andrea Lazaro Garcia (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alina Korneeva (Local): 68.37%; Andrea Lazaro Garcia (Visit): 31.63%. For Andrea Lazaro Garcia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -7.01%E -5.16%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.79%E +0.857%K +1.24%G +0.035% | 4.3% | 2026-06-24 13:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -11.11%E -8.55%K -37.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV +2.79%E +0.857%K +1.24%G +0.035% | 7.7% | 2026-06-24 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -11.80%E -9.15%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV +2.79%E +0.857%K +1.24%G +0.035% | 8.3% | 2026-06-24 13:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -12.48%E -9.75%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV +2.79%E +0.857%K +1.24%G +0.035% | 8.9% | 2026-06-24 13:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.01%E -5.16%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.12%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -2.23%E -1.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -7.02%E -2.39%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 13:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.28%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-24 13:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.28%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-24 13:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%EV -9.55%E -3.34%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-24 13:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-24 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -10.81%E -3.83%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 13:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.54%E -1.07%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-24 13:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.01%E -5.16%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -13.03%E -4.74%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-24 13:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-06-24 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-24 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-06-24 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.30% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.70% | 1.7% | 2026-06-24 13:20 |