Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aliaksandra Sasnovich v Storm Hunter

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 16:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Local)

Prediction 63.77%1.57fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -4.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.87%63.52%63.77%65.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.461.5369.93%67.85%68.49%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Storm Hunter (Visit)

Prediction 36.23%2.76fair odd
EV +0.362%
Edge +0.131%
Kelly +0.204%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.82%36.48%36.23%39.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.572.602.7742.02%38.91%38.46%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Local): 63.77%; Storm Hunter (Visit): 36.23%. For Storm Hunter (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.362%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -5.62%E -3.80%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV +0.362%E +0.131%K +0.204%G +0.001%3.7%2026-06-24 16:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.17%E -0.805%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-24 15:59
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.07%E -1.94%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-24 10:40
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -2.43%E -1.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96%EV -5.44%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -6.90%E -4.72%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -5.44%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-24 13:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.35%E -2.90%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.80%E -2.23%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 08:59
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.26%E -4.26%K -13.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.80%E -2.23%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-24 16:00
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.80%E -2.23%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-24 16:00
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.07%E -2.02%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.42%E -3.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.42%E -3.77%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-24 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -8.81%E -6.16%K -20.49%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.67%EV -10.51%E -4.25%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-24 15:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -6.90%E -4.72%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.23%E -4.58%K -7.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-24 15:54
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.43%E -1.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -13.77%E -5.79%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-24 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-06-24 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-06-24 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-24 16:00
ProphetX1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.9%2026-06-24 16:00
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%2.0%2026-06-24 16:00