Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 2.77
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Local): 63.77%; Storm Hunter (Visit): 36.23%. For Storm Hunter (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.362%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -5.62%E -3.80%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV +0.362%E +0.131%K +0.204%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.17%E -0.805%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-24 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.07%E -1.94%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-24 10:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -2.43%E -1.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96%EV -5.44%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-24 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -6.90%E -4.72%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -5.44%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-24 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.35%E -2.90%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.80%E -2.23%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 08:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.26%E -4.26%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.80%E -2.23%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.80%E -2.23%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.07%E -2.02%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.42%E -3.77%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.42%E -3.77%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.33%EV -8.81%E -6.16%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.67%EV -10.51%E -4.25%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-24 15:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -6.90%E -4.72%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.23%E -4.58%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-24 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.43%E -1.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -13.77%E -5.79%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-24 10:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 0.1% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 0.1% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.9% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51% | 2.0% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |