Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aliaksandra Sasnovich v Bianca Andreescu

Kickoff: 2026-06-25 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Local)

Prediction 46.60%2.15fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.52%46.62%46.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1051.28%48.90%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bianca Andreescu (Visit)

Prediction 53.40%1.87fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -4.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.23%53.48%53.38%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.741.8159.88%57.64%57.47%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Local): 46.60%; Bianca Andreescu (Visit): 53.40%. For Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -2.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.13%E -1.02%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.16%E -4.74%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 14:08
MyBookie.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.13%E -1.02%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.23%E -5.43%K -13.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.13%E -1.02%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.83%E -6.48%K -16.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 14:10
ReBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 13:59
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -3.53%E -1.71%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-25 13:59
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -4.00%E -1.94%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.35%E -1.85%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-25 14:10
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 14:09
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.09%E -4.07%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-25 14:10
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.09%E -4.07%K -9.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-25 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.86%E -2.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-25 13:59
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.16%E -4.74%K -11.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-25 13:59
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -6.79%E -3.40%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -9.76%E -5.78%K -14.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-25 14:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.12%E -4.68%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.23%E -5.43%K -13.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-25 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-06-25 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-06-25 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-06-25 14:10
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%2.4%2026-06-25 14:10