Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Julieta Pareja v Xinyu Wang

Início: 2026-07-28 15:00 UTC

Final: Julieta Pareja 0–2 Xinyu Wang

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Julieta Pareja (Local)

Previsão 42.65%2.34odd justa
EV +0.223%
Vantagem +0.095%
Kelly +0.165%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.63%42.67%42.62%44.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.64%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Xinyu Wang (Visitante)

Previsão 57.35%1.74odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -1.47%
Kelly -3.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.26%57.33%57.38%59.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.641.651.7064.10%61.14%60.61%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Julieta Pareja (Local): 42.65%; Xinyu Wang (Visitante): 57.35%. Para Julieta Pareja (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.34. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.223%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +0.223%E +0.095%K +0.165%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:20
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:26
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:25
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:25
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:20
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.91%E -0.830%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 14:53
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.91%E -0.830%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.91%E -0.830%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 17:20
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -3.08%E -1.82%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-28 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -2.76%E -1.21%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -10.53%E -6.75%K -18.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.17%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.17%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 14:54
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.62%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 10:59
DraftKings🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.62%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.65%E -2.17%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 14:54
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:44
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 21:10
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 10:59
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 14:59
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 14:59
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.96%E -6.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 17:20
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.96%E -6.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 17:20
ReBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.80%E -2.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 14:55
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 14:59
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.08%E -1.82%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 14:54
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 14:30
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 14:45
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 14:34
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 13:29
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 14:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 13:34
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:54
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 14:19
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 14:28
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 14:44
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.08%E -1.82%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 14:54
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 14:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 14:29
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 14:59
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 14:59
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-07-28 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-07-28 14:54
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-07-28 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-07-28 14:44
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-07-28 14:55
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-07-28 14:44
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-07-28 14:45