Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Julieta Pareja v Xinyu Wang

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-28 15:00 UTC

Score final : Julieta Pareja 0–2 Xinyu Wang

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Julieta Pareja (Local)

Prévision 42.65%2.34cote équitable
EV +0.223%
Avantage +0.095%
Kelly +0.165%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.63%42.67%42.62%44.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.64%44.44%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Xinyu Wang (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.35%1.74cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -3.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%57.33%57.38%59.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.641.651.7064.10%61.14%60.61%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Julieta Pareja (Local) : 42.65% ; Xinyu Wang (Visiteur) : 57.35%. Pour Julieta Pareja (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.34. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.35, soit une espérance positive de +0.223%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV +0.223%E +0.095%K +0.165%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:20
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:26
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:25
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:25
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:20
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.630%E -0.270%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.91%E -0.830%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 14:53
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.91%E -0.830%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.91%E -0.830%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 17:20
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -2.34%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -3.08%E -1.82%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-28 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -2.76%E -1.21%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -10.53%E -6.75%K -18.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.17%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -3.19%E -1.40%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.65%E -2.17%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 14:54
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.62%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 10:59
DraftKings🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.62%E -1.60%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.65%E -2.17%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-28 14:54
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:44
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 21:10
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 10:59
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 14:59
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.24%E -5.15%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 14:59
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.96%E -6.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 17:20
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.96%E -6.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 17:20
ReBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.80%E -2.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 14:55
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.47%E -1.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 14:59
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.08%E -1.82%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 14:54
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 14:30
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 14:45
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 14:34
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 13:29
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 14:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 13:34
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.94%E -3.62%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:54
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 14:19
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 14:28
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.45%E -3.43%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 14:44
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.08%E -1.82%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 14:54
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 14:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 14:29
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 14:59
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 14:59
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.50%E -1.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 14:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-07-28 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-07-28 14:54
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-07-28 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-07-28 14:44
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-07-28 14:55
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-07-28 14:44
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-07-28 14:45