Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Anna Kalinskaya

Início: 2026-07-31 16:05 UTC

Final: Jessica Pegula 2–0 Anna Kalinskaya

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Previsão 71.32%1.40odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -4.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.59%70.93%71.27%72.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.341.331.3876.92%74.52%75.19%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)

Previsão 28.68%3.49odd justa
EV +1.25%
Vantagem +0.353%
Kelly +0.493%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.66%29.07%28.73%33.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.213.253.5336.36%31.16%30.77%28.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jessica Pegula (Local): 71.32%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante): 28.68%. Para Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.49. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.53, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.25%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.34%EV -3.72%E -2.76%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.66%EV +1.25%E +0.353%K +0.493%G +0.006%2.4%2026-07-31 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.43%E -3.31%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.05%E -0.304%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-31 15:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.43%E -3.31%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.48%E -0.730%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.43%E -3.31%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.48%E -0.730%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 15:40
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.48%E -0.730%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 16:04
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.48%E -0.730%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 15:54
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.48%E -0.730%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 15:34
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.48%E -0.730%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 15:45
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.86%E -4.44%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.48%E -0.730%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 15:40
ReBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 15:39
Fanatics🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.86%E -4.44%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 15:50
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.57%E -5.02%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.29%E -5.60%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.78%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 15:39
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:39
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 15:30
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.86%E -4.44%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 15:44
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.57%E -5.02%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 16:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.29%E -5.60%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 15:44
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.43%E -3.31%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 14:44
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 15:39
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 15:40
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.78%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.01%E -2.21%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 16:04
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.01%E -2.21%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 16:04
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.01%E -2.21%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 16:04
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.01%E -2.21%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 16:04
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 04:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 04:34
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.29%E -5.60%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 14:44
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.29%E -5.60%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 14:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.58%E -1.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 14:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.29%E -1.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 16:04
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.01%E -2.21%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 15:54
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.43%E -3.31%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 16:00
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 15:48
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 15:50
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.15%E -3.87%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 15:04
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.58%E -1.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 14:40
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.58%E -1.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.58%E -1.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.58%E -1.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.58%E -1.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 14:39
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.58%E -1.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.58%E -1.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 14:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.58%E -1.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 14:40
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.72%E -2.76%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 04:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.72%E -2.76%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 04:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -2.29%E -1.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 14:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -2.29%E -1.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -3.01%E -2.21%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -1.58%E -1.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -21.13%E -7.68%K -12.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 16:03
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-07-31 16:00
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-07-31 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-07-31 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-07-31 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-07-31 16:00
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 73.78%3.77I 26.53%NM 26.22%1.2%2026-07-31 16:00
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-07-31 16:00