Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Anna Kalinskaya

2026-07-31 16:00 UTC — WTA Washington Open

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Predicción 70.81%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -6.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.13%70.72%70.96%71.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.291.341.331.3877.52%74.74%74.91%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)

Predicción 29.19%3.43momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.311%
Kelly -0.441%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.14%29.28%29.04%31.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.203.203.3933.90%31.28%31.25%29.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.90%E -4.71%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.90%E -4.71%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 00:05
Dabble (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -2.99%E -2.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 00:05
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -3.69%E -2.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -1.05%E -0.311%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-30 23:50
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.69%E -2.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 23:50
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.69%E -2.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 01:53
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.69%E -2.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 23:59
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.69%E -2.72%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 01:14
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.22%E -0.663%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 23:49
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.22%E -0.663%K -0.946%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 23:50
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -6.02%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 01:11
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 01:50
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 01:50
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 01:50
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 01:49
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 01:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 01:50
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 01:50
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 01:50
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 01:49
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 01:50
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 01:50
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 01:50
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.40%E -3.26%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 00:05
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.11%E -3.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 23:50
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.11%E -3.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 01:50
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.11%E -3.81%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 01:50
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.22%E -0.663%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 23:49
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.22%E -0.663%K -0.946%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 23:50
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 23:50
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 23:50
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 23:50
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 23:50
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 23:50
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 23:50
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 23:50
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 23:50
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 23:50
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 23:50
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 23:50
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 23:50
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-30 23:50
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 01:14
betano_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-30 23:50
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-30 23:49
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 01:50
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -7.24%E -5.52%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 23:50
ReBet1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -7.24%E -5.52%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -8.06%E -2.56%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 23:50
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.10%E -0.933%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 23:50
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-30 23:50
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-30 23:50
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.94%E -6.11%K -26.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-30 23:50
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.65%E -6.71%K -29.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-30 23:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-07-31 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-30 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-30 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-30 23:50
ProphetX1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%2.4%2026-07-31 01:15
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%3.5%2026-07-31 01:40
Novig1.34I 74.63%NM 71.67%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.33%4.1%2026-07-31 02:00