Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Janice Tjen v Rebecca Sramkova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-27 23:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Janice Tjen (Local)

Prévision 61.15%1.64cote équitable
EV -0.938%
Avantage -0.579%
Kelly -1.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.61%61.01%61.33%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.571.571.6268.97%63.73%63.69%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rebecca Sramkova (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.85%2.57cote équitable
EV -0.930%
Avantage -0.365%
Kelly -0.600%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%38.99%38.67%41.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.392.382.5544.44%41.87%42.02%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Janice Tjen (Local) : 61.15% ; Rebecca Sramkova (Visiteur) : 38.85%. Pour Rebecca Sramkova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.57. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.55, pour une espérance de -0.930% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.938%E -0.579%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.938%E -0.579%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:10
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.938%E -0.579%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.938%E -0.579%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:10
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.938%E -0.579%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.938%E -0.579%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.938%E -0.579%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:10
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.938%E -0.579%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:10
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.938%E -0.579%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.938%E -0.579%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:10
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.938%E -0.579%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:11
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.938%E -0.579%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.938%E -0.579%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.55%E -0.963%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.55%E -0.963%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.16%E -1.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -3.26%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-27 17:20
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.16%E -1.35%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.10%E -0.832%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.10%E -0.832%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 22:55
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 17:10
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 17:34
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 18:15
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 21:26
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 21:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 22:30
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 17:10
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 17:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 17:10
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 23:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.00%E -2.55%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.59%E -5.59%K -10.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 19:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.61%E -2.95%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.930%E -0.365%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 17:15
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.61%E -2.95%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 23:00
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.22%E -3.37%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 17:16
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.22%E -3.37%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.22%E -3.37%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 17:15
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.83%E -3.79%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.930%E -0.365%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 23:00
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.83%E -3.79%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.48%E -0.990%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 23:00
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.83%E -3.79%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.83%E -3.79%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 17:15
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.83%E -3.79%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.83%E -3.79%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 17:15
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -1.32%E -0.519%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 11:50
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.43%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 23:01
Betsson🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.43%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 17:15
NordicBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -4.43%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 17:15
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 17:58
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -7.66%E -5.08%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 11:50
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 11:49
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.28%E -5.52%K -16.55%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -4.04%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 17:16
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.33%EV -11.33%E -7.82%K -25.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-27 22:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-07-27 23:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-07-27 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-07-27 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-07-27 22:35
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-07-27 23:01
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-07-27 22:55
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%1.6%2026-07-27 22:55