Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.60
assuming max odds 1.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Janice Tjen (Local): 29.76%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visit): 70.24%. For Janice Tjen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.13%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +7.13%E +1.98%K +2.74%G +0.196% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +5.64%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.125% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +5.64%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.125% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +5.64%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.125% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +5.64%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.125% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +5.64%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.125% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +5.64%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.125% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +5.64%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.125% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +5.64%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.125% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +5.64%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.125% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 17:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +5.64%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.125% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +5.64%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.125% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +5.64%E +1.59%K +2.21%G +0.125% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-30 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +4.16%E +1.19%K +1.66%G +0.069% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +4.16%E +1.19%K +1.66%G +0.069% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -9.39%E -7.28%K -32.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-30 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV +2.67%E +0.773%K +1.09%G +0.029% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -10.79%E -8.50%K -39.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV -1.50%E -0.453%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -3.07%E -2.22%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-30 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.80%E -0.544%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-30 15:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 13:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 06:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 15:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.18%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -4.47%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -3.77%E -2.75%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV -4.47%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -3.77%E -2.75%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 15:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.77%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.77%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.77%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 15:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.77%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 15:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.77%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.77%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.88%E -4.39%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -5.07%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-30 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.49%EV -5.37%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.51%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-30 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.77%E -2.75%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 15:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 16:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 14:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-30 17:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-30 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 17:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.47%E -3.29%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-30 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.17%E -3.83%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-30 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-30 15:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.58%E -4.95%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-30 15:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-30 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.69%E -6.68%K -28.95%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-30 17:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -12.21%E -4.14%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -1.66%E -1.19%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.70%E -4.72%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.66%E -1.19%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.70%E -4.72%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.07%E -2.22%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.70%E -4.72%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.07%E -2.22%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 13:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.68%E -5.96%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.66%E -1.19%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-30 17:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-30 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-07-30 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-07-30 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-07-30 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-07-30 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-07-30 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.48% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.52% | 3.6% | 2026-07-30 17:05 |
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