Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 3.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emma Navarro (Local): 64.60%; Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visit): 35.40%. For Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.19%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -9.55%E -6.82%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +6.19%E +2.06%K +3.09%G +0.192% | 4.8% | 2026-07-28 10:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.95%E -0.705%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-29 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.95%E -0.705%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-29 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -1.95%E -0.705%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -2.31%E -0.836%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.66%E -0.967%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 19:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -5.68%E -3.89%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -2.66%E -0.967%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.66%E -0.967%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.66%E -0.967%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.66%E -0.967%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.55%E -6.82%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.66%E -0.967%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.55%E -6.82%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.66%E -0.967%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.39%E -2.96%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.43%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 18:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.43%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.43%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.43%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.43%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.43%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.43%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.32%E -4.36%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.43%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.97%E -4.84%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.43%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 19:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.62%E -5.33%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -4.43%E -1.64%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-29 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.39%E -2.96%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.20%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.39%E -2.96%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.20%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.68%E -3.89%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.20%E -2.34%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.85%EV -8.26%E -5.82%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.26%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-29 19:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.09%E -2.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.09%E -2.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.39%E -2.96%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.97%E -3.07%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -1.80%E -1.19%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -9.03%E -3.51%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.39%E -2.96%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.74%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -4.39%E -2.96%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -9.74%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.03%E -3.42%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.74%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -1.16%E -0.756%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -10.09%E -3.97%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.16%E -0.756%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.51%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.16%E -0.756%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.51%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.16%E -0.756%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.51%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.16%E -0.756%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.51%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.16%E -0.756%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.51%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.09%E -2.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.51%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.09%E -2.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.51%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.09%E -2.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.51%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -3.74%E -2.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -11.51%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48% | 1.6% | 2026-07-29 19:30 |
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