Language:English
Venus Williams v Sofia Kenin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Venus Williams (Local)
Prediction 14.46%6.92fair odd
EV +8.43%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.109%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.89%14.65%14.41%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.466.607.5018.18%15.47%15.15%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sofia Kenin (Visit)
Prediction 85.54%1.17fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -10.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.08%85.35%85.59%87.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1592.59%90.06%90.09%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Venus Williams (Local): 14.46%; Sofia Kenin (Visit): 85.54%. For Venus Williams (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.92. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +8.43%E +1.12%K +1.30%G +0.109% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +4.82%E +0.665%K +0.771%G +0.037% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +1.20%E +0.172%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 03:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.20%E +0.172%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.20%E +0.172%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.20%E +0.172%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.20%E +0.172%K +0.201%G +0.002% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -1.69%E -0.248%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 04:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -1.69%E -0.248%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.76I 14.79%NM 14.54%EV -2.27%E -0.335%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.46%EV -1.63%E -1.41%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.41%E -0.357%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.13%E -0.468%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -3.57%E -0.535%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.76%E -6.20%K -75.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.05%EV -3.57%E -0.535%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -6.76%E -6.20%K -75.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.63I 15.08%NM 14.34%EV -4.14%E -0.625%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.66%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -4.58%E -0.694%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.02%E -0.927%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 03:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.02%E -0.927%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 03:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.02%E -0.927%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.02%E -0.927%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.02%E -0.927%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.02%E -0.927%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 03:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.02%E -0.927%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.76%E -6.20%K -75.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -6.75%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.05%E -4.55%K -45.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.47%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.76%E -6.20%K -75.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -9.64%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -9.64%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 03:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -11.81%E -1.94%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -7.61%E -7.05%K -95.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 03:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 03:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 03:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 21:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 02:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 03:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 02:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.25%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 03:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.87%E -2.93%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.34%E -2.95%K -25.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.87%E -2.93%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -16.87%E -2.93%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -16.87%E -2.93%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -5.90%E -5.37%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-31 04:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -19.04%E -3.40%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -2.48%E -2.18%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -19.04%E -3.40%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -2.48%E -2.18%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -20.48%E -3.72%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.19%E -3.74%K -34.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 10:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 0.9% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| Novig◎ | 7.41I 13.50%NM 13.23% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.77% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 04:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16% | 2.4% | 2026-08-31 04:05 |