Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Taylor Townsend v Diana Shnaider

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

Score final : Taylor Townsend 2–1 Diana Shnaider

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Taylor Townsend (Local)

Prévision 39.55%2.53cote équitable
EV -0.726%
Avantage -0.289%
Kelly -0.481%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.97%39.52%39.75%41.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.392.382.5143.48%41.83%42.02%39.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Diana Shnaider (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.45%1.65cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -3.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%60.48%60.25%62.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.571.571.6265.36%63.58%63.69%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Taylor Townsend (Local) : 39.55% ; Diana Shnaider (Visiteur) : 60.45%. Pour Taylor Townsend (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.53. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.51, pour une espérance de -0.726% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -0.726%E -0.289%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -0.726%E -0.289%K -0.481%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Pinnacle🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -1.12%E -0.449%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 12:50
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.12%E -0.449%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 05:00
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.31%E -0.934%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 11:25
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -2.70%E -1.10%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -2.70%E -1.10%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 05:05
SportsBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -2.70%E -1.10%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 05:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 12:50
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 06:55
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.91%E -4.49%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:31
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:44
DraftKings🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.49%E -1.43%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -6.91%E -4.49%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 06:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -3.89%E -1.60%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.29%E -1.77%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.29%E -1.77%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 06:08
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 09:05
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 21:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 08:00
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.89%E -2.44%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:31
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 06:50
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 21:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:30
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.08%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.51%E -4.91%K -14.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.47%E -2.29%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 21:29
ReBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.47%E -2.29%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 11:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 08:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 08:00
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.49%E -2.84%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 08:00
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:00
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 07:59
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 09:05
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:00
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:00
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:00
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:00
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 09:04
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.87%E -2.47%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 02:00
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.26%E -2.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 09:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -6.26%E -2.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 21:29
NordicBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.66%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 21:30
Betsson🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.66%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 21:30
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 09:10
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 05:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:35
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 09:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 08:00
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.70%E -3.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 10:41
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.91%E -4.49%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 12:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.07%E -1.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.68%E -1.66%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.68%E -1.66%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.68%E -1.66%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:35
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.28%E -2.05%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.10%E -3.25%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 09:10
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.30%E -4.07%K -11.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%0.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-03 21:05
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-09-04 14:35