La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Taylor Townsend v Diana Shnaider

2026-09-04 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Townsend (Local)

Predicción 36.70%2.73momio equitativo
EV -0.918%
Ventaja -0.340%
Kelly -0.540%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.63%36.72%36.65%38.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.582.602.7041.67%38.83%38.46%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Predicción 63.30%1.58momio equitativo
EV -0.614%
Ventaja -0.391%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.22%63.28%63.35%64.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.491.491.5769.44%67.13%67.11%63.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Taylor Townsend (Local): 36.70%; Diana Shnaider (Visitante): 63.30%. Para Diana Shnaider (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.58. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.57, con un valor esperado de -0.614%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.918%E -0.340%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.78%E -2.49%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 21:10
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -2.39%E -0.897%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 20:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.75%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:40
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:40
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:40
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:40
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:40
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:40
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:40
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:40
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.85%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 20:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -3.85%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 20:25
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -3.85%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.21%E -5.66%K -18.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 20:18
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 20:19
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 21:10
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:44
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 20:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 20:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 19:35
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 19:35
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 19:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.59%E -1.76%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -6.06%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 20:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 19:41
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.05%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 20:20
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 20:20
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.42%E -2.52%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 20:55
DraftKings🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -7.16%E -2.83%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -7.16%E -2.83%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 20:19
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 20:20
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 20:20
GTbets🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -8.62%E -3.46%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -0.614%E -0.391%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 18:55
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.09%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.78%E -2.49%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 22:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -10.83%E -4.46%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -8.21%E -5.66%K -18.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 20:20
ReBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -10.83%E -4.46%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -8.21%E -5.66%K -18.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-02 20:29
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.78%E -2.49%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 22:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 20:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.93%E -4.97%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.84%E -6.14%K -20.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 20:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.8%2026-09-02 21:11
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 36.95%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.05%10.9%2026-09-02 19:05
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 37.73%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.27%12.3%2026-09-02 21:55
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 35.65%1.13I 88.50%NM 64.35%37.5%2026-09-02 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 50.00%1.12I 89.29%NM 50.00%78.6%2026-09-02 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 50.00%1.12I 89.29%NM 50.00%78.6%2026-09-02 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 50.00%1.12I 89.29%NM 50.00%78.6%2026-09-02 22:55