Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.85
assuming max odds 2.12
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talia Gibson (Local): 52.51%; Donna Vekic (Visit): 47.49%. For Donna Vekic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.676%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.58%E -4.31%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV +0.676%E +0.319%K +0.603%G +0.004% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.58%E -4.31%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV +0.676%E +0.319%K +0.603%G +0.004% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.53%E -3.67%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.22%E -0.588%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%EV -3.38%E -1.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV -2.17%E -1.06%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.38%E -1.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 13:46 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.60%E -1.77%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -3.60%E -1.77%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.43%E -2.43%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 11:58 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.07%E -2.02%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.55%E -2.26%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 10:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.38%E -1.84%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 11:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 10:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.43%E -2.43%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 10:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.05%E -3.99%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.02%E -2.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.95%E -2.74%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -5.50%E -2.76%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -5.50%E -2.76%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.50%E -2.76%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.85%E -1.54%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.97%E -3.02%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.43%E -2.43%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.97%E -3.02%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.43%E -2.43%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.97%E -3.02%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.97%E -3.02%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.97%E -3.02%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 13:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.97%E -3.02%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -6.00%E -3.35%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -5.97%E -3.02%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.53%E -3.67%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.45%E -3.27%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 13:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.40%E -3.79%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.40%E -3.79%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 13:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.40%E -3.79%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.48%E -3.04%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.40%E -3.79%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -8.35%E -4.32%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 10:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.90%E -2.13%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.30%E -4.87%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 14:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |