Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sinja Kraus v Karolina Muchova

Início: 2026-08-31 15:05 UTC

Final: Sinja Kraus 0–2 Karolina Muchova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sinja Kraus (Local)

Previsão 13.06%7.65odd justa
EV +11.04%
Vantagem +1.30%
Kelly +1.47%
Crescimento +0.163%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.09%12.98%13.00%14.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.257.177.008.5016.00%13.95%14.29%11.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Karolina Muchova (Visitante)

Previsão 86.94%1.15odd justa
EV -3.50%
Vantagem -3.15%
Kelly -31.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
85.03%87.02%87.00%88.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.061.091.101.1194.34%91.43%90.91%90.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sinja Kraus (Local): 13.06%; Karolina Muchova (Visitante): 86.94%. Para Sinja Kraus (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.65. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.04%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +11.04%E +1.30%K +1.47%G +0.163%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +11.04%E +1.30%K +1.47%G +0.163%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.85%E -7.40%K -130.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 10:30
1xBet🎯8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +4.64%E +0.580%K +0.662%G +0.031%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +4.51%E +0.564%K +0.644%G +0.029%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 10:30
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.51%E +0.564%K +0.644%G +0.029%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 15:19
ReBet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +1.90%E +0.243%K +0.279%G +0.005%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 13:05
FanDuel🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +1.90%E +0.243%K +0.279%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 03:05
GTbets🎯7.79I 12.84%NM 12.18%EV +1.77%E +0.227%K +0.260%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.82%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:45
Coolbet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +1.25%E +0.161%K +0.184%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.50%E -3.15%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 09:25
Winamax (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +1.25%E +0.161%K +0.184%G +0.002%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 10:30
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.02%E -0.269%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.02%E -0.269%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.02%E -0.269%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:30
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.02%E -0.269%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 14:50
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.02%E -0.269%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 08:25
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.02%E -0.269%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 08:53
BetAnything🎯7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -2.67%E -0.359%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
Pinnacle🎯7.44I 13.44%NM 12.98%EV -2.80%E -0.377%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.02%EV -3.50%E -3.15%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -3.33%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 10:30
MyBookie.ag🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -3.33%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 10:29
Fliff🎯7.35I 13.61%NM 12.81%EV -3.98%E -0.542%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.19%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 14:50
Fanatics🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -4.63%E -0.635%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:50
Bovada🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.29%E -0.729%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 09:25
NetBet (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -5.29%E -0.729%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.98%E -6.52%K -99.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 10:30
Betsson🎯7.23I 13.83%NM 13.00%EV -5.55%E -0.767%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.00%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 10:30
NordicBet🎯7.23I 13.83%NM 13.00%EV -5.55%E -0.767%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.00%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 10:25
LeoVegas🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.94%E -0.825%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.94%E -0.825%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 14:50
theScore Bet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.94%E -0.825%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 10:25
DraftKings🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.94%E -0.825%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 10:14
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 08:10
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 09:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 09:25
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 08:00
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 08:01
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 09:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 01:35
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 09:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 09:30
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 08:01
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 08:00
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV -9.60%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -3.50%E -3.15%K -31.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV -9.60%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -3.50%E -3.15%K -31.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 01:10
BetRivers🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Casumo🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Bally Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
TABtouch🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 11:41
PlayUp🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.08%E -2.32%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.50%E -3.15%K -31.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 14:25
Caesars🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.08%E -2.32%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 14:41
PMU (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -15.08%E -2.32%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 08:45
TAB🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -18.35%E -2.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 01:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-08-31 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-08-31 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-08-31 14:50
Matchbook◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%0.7%2026-08-31 14:55
Kalshi◎9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%1.1%2026-08-31 09:21
ProphetX◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57%1.7%2026-08-31 14:55
Novig◎8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24%2.1%2026-08-31 13:35
Smarkets◎9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%2.6%2026-08-31 14:55