StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Sinja Kraus v Karolina Muchova

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-31 15:05 UTC

Endstand: Sinja Kraus 0–2 Karolina Muchova

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Sinja Kraus (Heim)

Prognose 13.06%7.65faire Quote
EV +11.04%
Vorteil +1.30%
Kelly +1.47%
Wachstum +0.163%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.09%12.98%13.00%14.97%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.257.177.008.5016.00%13.95%14.29%11.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Karolina Muchova (Auswärts)

Prognose 86.94%1.15faire Quote
EV -3.50%
Vorteil -3.15%
Kelly -31.83%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.11

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
85.03%87.02%87.00%88.91%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.061.091.101.1194.34%91.43%90.91%90.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Sinja Kraus (Heim): 13.06%; Karolina Muchova (Auswärts): 86.94%. Für Sinja Kraus (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.65. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 8.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +11.04%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +11.04%E +1.30%K +1.47%G +0.163%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-31 10:25
Tipico (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +11.04%E +1.30%K +1.47%G +0.163%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.85%E -7.40%K -130.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 10:30
1xBet🎯8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +4.64%E +0.580%K +0.662%G +0.031%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +4.51%E +0.564%K +0.644%G +0.029%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 10:30
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +4.51%E +0.564%K +0.644%G +0.029%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 15:19
ReBet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +1.90%E +0.243%K +0.279%G +0.005%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 13:05
FanDuel🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +1.90%E +0.243%K +0.279%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 03:05
GTbets🎯7.79I 12.84%NM 12.18%EV +1.77%E +0.227%K +0.260%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.82%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:45
Coolbet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.53%EV +1.25%E +0.161%K +0.184%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.47%EV -3.50%E -3.15%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 09:25
Winamax (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV +1.25%E +0.161%K +0.184%G +0.002%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 10:30
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.02%E -0.269%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.02%E -0.269%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.02%E -0.269%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 10:30
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.02%E -0.269%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 14:50
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.02%E -0.269%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 08:25
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.02%E -0.269%K -0.311%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 08:53
BetAnything🎯7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -2.67%E -0.359%K -0.415%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 14:55
Pinnacle🎯7.44I 13.44%NM 12.98%EV -2.80%E -0.377%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.02%EV -3.50%E -3.15%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-31 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -3.33%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 10:30
MyBookie.ag🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -3.33%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 10:29
Fliff🎯7.35I 13.61%NM 12.81%EV -3.98%E -0.542%K -0.627%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.19%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 14:50
Fanatics🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -4.63%E -0.635%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:50
Bovada🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -5.29%E -0.729%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 09:25
NetBet (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -5.29%E -0.729%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -6.98%E -6.52%K -99.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 10:30
Betsson🎯7.23I 13.83%NM 13.00%EV -5.55%E -0.767%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.00%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 10:30
NordicBet🎯7.23I 13.83%NM 13.00%EV -5.55%E -0.767%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.00%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 10:25
LeoVegas🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.94%E -0.825%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.94%E -0.825%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 14:50
theScore Bet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.94%E -0.825%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 10:25
DraftKings🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.94%E -0.825%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 10:14
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 08:10
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 09:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 09:25
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 09:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 08:00
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 08:01
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 09:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 01:35
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 09:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 09:30
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 08:01
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 08:00
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.55%E -1.22%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.11%E -5.66%K -76.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV -9.60%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -3.50%E -3.15%K -31.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯6.92I 14.45%NM 13.82%EV -9.60%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.18%EV -3.50%E -3.15%K -31.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 01:10
BetRivers🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Casumo🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Bally Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
TABtouch🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -11.82%E -1.75%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 11:41
PlayUp🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.08%E -2.32%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.50%E -3.15%K -31.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 14:25
Caesars🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.08%E -2.32%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 14:41
PMU (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -15.08%E -2.32%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.24%E -4.81%K -58.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 08:45
TAB🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -18.35%E -2.94%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -4.37%E -3.97%K -43.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 01:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-08-31 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-08-31 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-08-31 14:50
Matchbook◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%0.7%2026-08-31 14:55
Kalshi◎9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%1.1%2026-08-31 09:21
ProphetX◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57%1.7%2026-08-31 14:55
Novig◎8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24%2.1%2026-08-31 13:35
Smarkets◎9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%2.6%2026-08-31 14:55