Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qinwen Zheng v Kristina Liutova

Kickoff: 2026-08-31 15:04 UTC

Final: Qinwen Zheng 2–1 Kristina Liutova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Prediction 61.40%1.63fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%61.36%61.40%62.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.551.561.5865.36%64.41%64.10%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kristina Liutova (Visit)

Prediction 38.60%2.59fair odd
EV -0.800%
Edge -0.311%
Kelly -0.509%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.77%38.64%38.60%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.442.422.5742.55%40.96%41.32%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qinwen Zheng (Local): 61.40%; Kristina Liutova (Visit): 38.60%. For Kristina Liutova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.57, with an expected value of -0.800%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -2.99%E -1.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -2.34%E -0.926%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -2.99%E -1.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -4.66%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-31 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.99%E -1.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 10:25
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.60%E -2.29%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.57%E -0.616%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 14:55
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.60%E -2.29%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.27%E -1.72%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-31 14:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.60%E -2.29%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 14:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.60%E -2.29%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -6.98%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 10:29
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.60%E -2.29%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:30
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.60%E -2.29%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.60%E -2.29%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.60%E -2.29%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 06:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.60%E -2.29%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 06:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.60%E -2.29%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 06:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.800%E -0.311%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.800%E -0.311%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 14:45
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.50%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 14:45
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:45
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:45
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:45
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:45
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:46
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:46
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:45
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 14:30
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -8.52%E -3.59%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.22%E -2.70%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.29%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 06:46
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.50%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 14:50
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 14:50
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -8.52%E -3.59%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -8.52%E -3.59%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 14:35
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.73%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-31 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 14:50
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.01%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.99%EV -6.98%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 14:55
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.44%E -3.53%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.29%E -3.95%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.73%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 14:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.50%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.50%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.50%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.50%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:50
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.50%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:49
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.50%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.50%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -4.66%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 14:55
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.43%E -2.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 14:50
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -6.59%E -2.72%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 10:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -6.59%E -2.72%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 14:55
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.36%E -3.07%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 10:52
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-31 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-31 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-08-31 14:55
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-08-31 14:55
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-31 14:55
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-31 14:00
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-31 14:56
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-08-31 14:45