Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Qinwen Zheng v Elena Rybakina

Início: 2026-09-09 15:37 UTC

Final: Qinwen Zheng 1–2 Elena Rybakina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Previsão 27.04%3.70odd justa
EV +3.28%
Vantagem +0.858%
Kelly +1.16%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.95%27.09%27.08%29.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.193.513.503.8231.35%28.51%28.57%26.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Elena Rybakina (Visitante)

Previsão 72.96%1.37odd justa
EV -0.768%
Vantagem -0.565%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.11%72.91%72.92%75.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.301.301.3680.00%76.85%76.92%73.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Qinwen Zheng (Local): 27.04%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 72.96%. Para Qinwen Zheng (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.70. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.82, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.28%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV +3.28%E +0.858%K +1.16%G +0.038%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -7.34%E -5.78%K -27.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 14:50
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +1.38%E +0.369%K +0.503%G +0.007%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 15:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +1.38%E +0.369%K +0.503%G +0.007%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +1.38%E +0.369%K +0.503%G +0.007%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.38%E +0.369%K +0.503%G +0.007%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.88%E -4.55%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 14:51
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +1.38%E +0.369%K +0.503%G +0.007%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.88%E -4.55%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-09 15:25
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.38%E +0.369%K +0.503%G +0.007%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.79%E -7.04%K -35.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 14:51
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.38%E +0.369%K +0.503%G +0.007%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.79%E -7.04%K -35.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 14:50
1xBet🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.80%EV +0.302%E +0.081%K +0.111%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.20%EV -5.88%E -4.55%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 15:25
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +0.031%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.88%E -4.55%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-09 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -1.32%E -0.362%K -0.498%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-09 13:25
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 14:51
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.69%E -2.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-09 13:40
ReBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-09 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.61%E -5.16%K -23.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 10:19
Pinnacle🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -1.50%E -1.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-09 15:26
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.61%E -5.16%K -23.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 15:15
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.61%E -5.16%K -23.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:51
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 13:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 14:20
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 10:15
MyBookie.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 13:46
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 10:50
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:20
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:20
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:20
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:20
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:20
Bally Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:20
betPARX🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:24
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 14:20
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.88%E -4.55%K -20.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.88%E -4.55%K -20.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 14:51
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.88%E -4.55%K -20.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 14:41
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.61%E -5.16%K -23.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 15:15
Fliff🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.61%E -5.16%K -23.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 15:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 13:20
Fanatics🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 15:20
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 13:15
GTbets🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 28.24%EV -7.27%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.76%EV -1.50%E -1.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-09 13:40
NordicBet🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.27%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.88%E -4.55%K -20.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 13:40
Betsson🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.27%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.88%E -4.55%K -20.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -7.54%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -3.69%E -2.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.69%E -2.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:30
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.69%E -2.79%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 13:31
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 15:14
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:44
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.15%E -3.96%K -17.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:20
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.88%E -4.55%K -20.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 14:43
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.61%E -5.16%K -23.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 13:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.61%E -5.16%K -23.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 13:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.34%E -5.78%K -27.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.42%E -3.37%K -14.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 15:25
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 15:26
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 15:25
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 15:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.96%E -2.22%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 15:25
DraftKings🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -13.76%E -4.31%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -0.768%E -0.565%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 13:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%0.3%2026-09-09 15:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-09 15:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-09 15:21
Matchbook◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-09 15:26
ProphetX◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-09 15:25
Novig◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-09 15:26
Smarkets◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%2.1%2026-09-09 15:25