Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova v Tatjana Maria

Início: 2026-09-03 18:32 UTC

Final: Nikola Bartunkova 2–1 Tatjana Maria

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Previsão 68.37%1.46odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -1.56%
Kelly -5.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.74%68.36%68.23%69.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.341.391.401.4374.63%71.77%71.43%69.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tatjana Maria (Visitante)

Previsão 31.63%3.16odd justa
EV -0.039%
Vantagem -0.012%
Kelly -0.018%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.09%31.64%31.77%33.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.852.983.003.1635.09%33.61%33.33%31.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 68.37%; Tatjana Maria (Visitante): 31.63%. Para Tatjana Maria (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.161. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.160, com valor esperado de -0.039%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -2.24%E -1.56%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV -4.78%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 12:40
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.92%E -2.06%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -3.52%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.92%E -2.06%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 18:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.92%E -2.06%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-03 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.92%E -2.06%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.85%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 17:40
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.92%E -2.06%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.85%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.15%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.85%EV -0.039%E -0.012%K -0.018%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.68%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:25
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:25
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:25
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:25
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:25
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:25
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 18:25
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -2.57%E -0.834%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:35
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 18:20
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:35
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:44
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:40
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 18:25
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:35
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:43
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.21%E -3.21%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 17:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.21%E -3.21%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.85%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 12:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -4.97%E -3.58%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -4.47%E -1.48%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.97%E -3.58%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.97%E -3.58%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.68%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:40
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.355%E -0.113%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 17:10
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -0.988%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 13:24
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -4.47%E -1.48%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 17:35
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:25
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:25
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.37%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.37%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 18:04
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -0.039%E -0.012%K -0.018%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 17:40
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.94%E -0.625%K -0.922%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:25
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.94%E -0.625%K -0.922%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.94%E -0.625%K -0.922%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.94%E -0.625%K -0.922%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.94%E -0.625%K -0.922%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:25
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 18:25
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 12:40
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 15:57
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.39%E -6.26%K -24.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%0.4%2026-09-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-03 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-03 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-03 18:00
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-09-03 18:20
ProphetX◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-09-03 18:25
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.7%2026-09-03 18:25