Idioma:Español
Nikola Bartunkova v Tatjana Maria
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nikola Bartunkova (Local)
Predicción 68.37%1.46momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.56%
Kelly -5.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.74%68.36%68.23%69.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.391.401.4374.63%71.77%71.43%69.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tatjana Maria (Visitante)
Predicción 31.63%3.16momio equitativo
EV -0.039%
Ventaja -0.012%
Kelly -0.018%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.09%31.64%31.77%33.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.852.983.003.1635.09%33.61%33.33%31.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 68.37%; Tatjana Maria (Visitante): 31.63%. Para Tatjana Maria (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.161. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.160, con un valor esperado de -0.039%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -2.24%E -1.56%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV -4.78%E -1.59%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 12:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.92%E -2.06%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -3.52%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.92%E -2.06%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 18:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.92%E -2.06%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.92%E -2.06%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.85%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.92%E -2.06%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.85%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.15%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.85%EV -0.039%E -0.012%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.68%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.60%E -2.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -2.57%E -0.834%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -7.63%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:43 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.21%E -3.21%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.21%E -3.21%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.29%E -3.06%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.85%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 12:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -4.97%E -3.58%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -4.47%E -1.48%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.97%E -3.58%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.97%E -3.58%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.68%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.355%E -0.113%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -0.988%E -0.316%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-03 13:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -4.47%E -1.48%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.37%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.37%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.65%E -4.10%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.34%E -4.63%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -0.039%E -0.012%K -0.018%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.94%E -0.625%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.94%E -0.625%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.94%E -0.625%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.94%E -0.625%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.94%E -0.625%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 12:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.02%E -5.16%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 15:57 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.39%E -6.26%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -5.10%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36% | 0.4% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 18:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |