La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Nikola Bartunkova v Tatjana Maria

2026-09-03 18:30 UTC — WTA US Open

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Predicción 66.31%1.51momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -6.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.06%66.33%66.27%67.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.371.421.431.4672.99%70.19%69.93%68.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tatjana Maria (Visitante)

Predicción 33.69%2.97momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.552%
Kelly -0.840%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.56%33.67%33.73%34.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.802.9238.46%35.74%35.71%34.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 66.31%; Tatjana Maria (Visitante): 33.69%. Para Tatjana Maria (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.97. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.92, con un valor esperado de -1.61%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.19%E -2.19%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -2.29%E -0.789%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 02:04
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.86%E -2.66%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 00:20
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.96%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 03:49
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.97%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 02:29
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 01:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 02:10
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 02:35
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 00:30
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 23:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 23:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 23:40
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.61%E -0.552%K -0.840%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.29%E -0.789%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-03 00:25
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.97%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 04:50
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.97%E -1.39%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 00:24
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -4.31%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.65%E -1.64%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 00:28
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -5.32%E -1.89%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 02:10
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:10
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:10
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:10
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:10
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:10
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.18%E -3.62%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 02:10
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -5.85%E -4.12%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -2.62%E -0.908%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.85%E -4.12%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.85%E -4.12%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 00:35
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -5.85%E -4.12%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -5.99%E -2.15%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -5.85%E -4.12%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -5.99%E -2.15%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 00:24
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.85%E -4.12%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 23:35
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.85%E -4.12%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 00:24
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.85%E -4.12%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.34%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 04:18
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -6.51%E -4.62%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -2.96%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 02:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.29%E -0.789%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 02:30
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.96%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 00:24
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.96%E -1.03%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 00:25
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.17%E -5.12%K -17.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.03%E -3.34%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 00:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -7.83%E -5.64%K -20.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -10.71%E -4.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 00:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.50%E -6.16%K -22.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.40%E -4.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 00:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.50%E -6.16%K -22.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.40%E -4.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 02:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -9.16%E -6.69%K -24.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.66%E -2.02%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 02:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-09-03 05:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-09-03 05:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-09-03 05:20
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-09-03 05:30
Novig◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.49%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.51%2.9%2026-09-03 05:30
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 66.19%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.81%6.4%2026-09-03 05:25
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.50%9.0%2026-09-03 05:10