Language:English
McCartney Kessler v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
McCartney Kessler (Local)
Prediction 41.79%2.39fair odd
EV +0.721%
Edge +0.299%
Kelly +0.512%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.20%41.72%41.86%42.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.262.4145.45%43.94%44.25%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit)
Prediction 58.21%1.72fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.965%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.40%58.28%58.14%59.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.631.621.6962.89%61.42%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: McCartney Kessler (Local): 41.79%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit): 58.21%. For McCartney Kessler (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.721%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV +0.721%E +0.299%K +0.512%G +0.004% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV +0.721%E +0.299%K +0.512%G +0.004% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -0.114%E -0.048%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -4.54%E -2.77%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.79%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.79%E -0.760%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV -2.20%E -0.942%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -1.63%E -0.965%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 20:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.88%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.88%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.88%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 20:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.88%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.88%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.88%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.88%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.29%E -3.90%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.88%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.29%E -3.90%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.88%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.29%E -3.90%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.88%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.29%E -3.90%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.88%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 19:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.88%E -1.69%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.45%E -4.69%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 14:31 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -4.29%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -3.38%E -2.03%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -4.29%E -1.88%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.29%E -3.90%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.71%E -2.07%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 05:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.13%E -2.26%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.54%E -2.77%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 05:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.55%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 20:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.90%EV -5.55%E -2.45%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.10%EV -5.12%E -3.14%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 20:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.79%E -1.67%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 20:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.79%E -1.67%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 08:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.54%E -2.77%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.54%E -2.77%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.54%E -2.77%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 05:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 05:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 11:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 05:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.29%E -3.90%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.97%E -2.65%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 20:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.80%E -3.05%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -6.80%E -3.05%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 20:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.06%E -3.66%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.87%E -4.29%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 20:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |