Language:English
Lucrezia Stefanini v Dayana Yastremska
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lucrezia Stefanini (Local)
Prediction 44.38%2.25fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.665%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.30%44.35%44.43%47.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.142.142.2250.76%46.81%46.73%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dayana Yastremska (Visit)
Prediction 55.62%1.80fair odd
EV -0.440%
Edge -0.246%
Kelly -0.558%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.39%55.65%55.57%56.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.711.711.7960.24%58.39%58.48%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lucrezia Stefanini (Local): 44.38%; Dayana Yastremska (Visit): 55.62%. For Dayana Yastremska (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.79, with an expected value of -0.440%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.48%E -0.665%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.92%E -0.869%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 08:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 16:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -2.81%E -1.28%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.56%E -3.90%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.70%E -1.70%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.14%E -1.92%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.03%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.47%E -2.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -5.47%E -2.57%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.91%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.91%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 10:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.91%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.11%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.33%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -8.13%E -3.93%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -0.440%E -0.246%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -8.13%E -3.93%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -0.440%E -0.246%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -12.57%E -6.38%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -0.440%E -0.246%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 15:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 16:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 16:35 |