Language:English
Kimberly Birrell v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kimberly Birrell (Local)
Prediction 22.90%4.37fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +0.426%
Kelly +0.549%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 4.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.38%22.96%22.93%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.104.104.4526.32%24.39%24.39%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit)
Prediction 77.10%1.30fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -10.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.25%77.04%77.07%78.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.241.2683.33%80.91%80.65%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kimberly Birrell (Local): 22.90%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit): 77.10%. For Kimberly Birrell (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +1.90%E +0.426%K +0.549%G +0.010% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -6.71%E -5.54%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.751%E +0.171%K +0.221%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 19:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -0.394%E -0.091%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -0.394%E -0.091%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.16%E -4.20%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.50%EV -0.623%E -0.144%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.50%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.852%E -0.197%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 19:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.852%E -0.197%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 19:06 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.55%EV -2.45%E -0.576%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.45%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.68%E -0.631%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 21:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.68%E -0.631%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 21:51 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.67%EV -3.14%E -0.743%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.33%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.83%E -0.912%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.83%E -0.912%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.83%E -0.912%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.83%E -0.912%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.48%E -6.23%K -37.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 14:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.55%EV -4.06%E -0.968%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 19:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 15:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.12%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -7.26%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 21:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -7.26%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -7.26%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.16%E -4.20%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -2.85%E -2.26%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 11:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.16%E -4.20%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.16%E -4.20%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 14:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 11:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 14:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 08:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.41%E -2.10%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.94%E -4.87%K -26.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 20:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.55%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -10.24%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -10.24%E -2.61%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -4.39%E -3.54%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.99%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.62%E -2.90%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 12:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 21:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 21:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 16:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 21:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 21:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 2.7% | 2026-09-02 21:51 |