Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iva Jović v Francesca Jones

Inizio: 2026-09-03 22:51 UTC

Finale: Iva Jović 2–0 Francesca Jones

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iva Jović (Casa)

Previsione 84.22%1.19quota equa
EV -2.30%
Vantaggio -1.98%
Kelly -14.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
82.71%84.27%84.27%85.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.131.131.1690.09%88.51%88.50%86.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Francesca Jones (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.78%6.34quota equa
EV +6.50%
Vantaggio +0.962%
Kelly +1.13%
Crescita +0.073%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.23%15.73%15.73%17.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.505.925.806.7518.18%16.90%17.24%14.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Iva Jović (Casa): 84.22%; Francesca Jones (Trasferta): 15.78%. Per Francesca Jones (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.34. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +6.50%.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +6.50%E +0.962%K +1.13%G +0.073%4.1%2026-09-03 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +6.50%E +0.962%K +1.13%G +0.073%4.1%2026-09-03 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.46%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.54%EV +5.71%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.057%2.6%2026-09-03 22:41
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +5.71%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.057%4.2%2026-09-03 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%4.7%2026-09-03 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.974%E +0.152%K +0.180%G +0.002%4.9%2026-09-03 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.39%E -0.223%K -0.265%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 08:15
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.39%E -0.223%K -0.265%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.39%E -0.223%K -0.265%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -2.18%E -0.352%K -0.420%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 21:30
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 21:20
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 22:35
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:50
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:50
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 20:05
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 20:05
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:45
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 22:40
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 22:40
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 17:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 22:40
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -5.97%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -5.97%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 22:50
BetUS🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.02%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.98%EV -6.28%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 20:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.91%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 22:50
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.38%EV -2.30%E -1.98%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.18%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 07:59
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 07:59
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 07:59
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 07:59
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 07:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:25
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:50
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -10.07%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -10.07%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -11.65%E -2.08%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:50
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -11.65%E -2.08%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -11.65%E -2.08%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 08:00
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -3.14%E -2.73%K -20.96%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -12.44%E -2.24%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.14%E -2.73%K -20.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.23%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 22:49
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.14%E -2.73%K -20.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.23%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:20
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.23%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:39
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.23%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:15
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -13.23%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 07:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.23%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 22:48
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-09-03 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-09-03 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 22:50
Matchbook◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 22:45
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-09-03 22:50
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.91%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.09%1.8%2026-09-03 22:50
Smarkets◎1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15%2.8%2026-09-03 22:50