Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Iva Jović v Francesca Jones

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-03 22:51 UTC

Score final : Iva Jović 2–0 Francesca Jones

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Iva Jović (Local)

Prévision 84.22%1.19cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -14.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.71%84.27%84.27%85.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.111.131.131.1690.09%88.51%88.50%86.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Francesca Jones (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.78%6.34cote équitable
EV +6.50%
Avantage +0.962%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.073%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.23%15.73%15.73%17.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.505.925.806.7518.18%16.90%17.24%14.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Iva Jović (Local) : 84.22% ; Francesca Jones (Visiteur) : 15.78%. Pour Francesca Jones (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.34. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.75, soit une espérance positive de +6.50%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +6.50%E +0.962%K +1.13%G +0.073%4.1%2026-09-03 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +6.50%E +0.962%K +1.13%G +0.073%4.1%2026-09-03 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.46%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.54%EV +5.71%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.057%2.6%2026-09-03 22:41
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +5.71%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.057%4.2%2026-09-03 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%4.7%2026-09-03 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +0.974%E +0.152%K +0.180%G +0.002%4.9%2026-09-03 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.39%E -0.223%K -0.265%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 08:15
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.39%E -0.223%K -0.265%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -1.39%E -0.223%K -0.265%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -2.18%E -0.352%K -0.420%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 21:30
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 21:20
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 22:35
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:50
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:50
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 20:05
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 20:05
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:45
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 22:40
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 22:40
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 17:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -5.34%E -0.890%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 22:40
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -5.97%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.82%EV -5.97%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 22:50
BetUS🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.02%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.98%EV -6.28%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 20:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.91%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 22:50
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.38%EV -2.30%E -1.98%K -14.38%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.18%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 07:59
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 07:59
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 07:59
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 07:59
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 08:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 07:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:25
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:50
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.67%E -5.06%K -47.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -10.07%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -10.07%E -1.77%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -11.65%E -2.08%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:50
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -11.65%E -2.08%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -11.65%E -2.08%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 08:00
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -3.14%E -2.73%K -20.96%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -12.44%E -2.24%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.14%E -2.73%K -20.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.23%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 22:49
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.14%E -2.73%K -20.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -13.23%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:20
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.23%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 22:39
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.99%E -3.50%K -28.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -13.23%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 21:15
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.83%E -4.27%K -37.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -13.23%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 07:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.51%E -5.87%K -59.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.23%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 22:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-09-03 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-09-03 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 22:50
Matchbook◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-03 22:45
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-09-03 22:50
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 86.91%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.09%1.8%2026-09-03 22:50
Smarkets◎1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15%2.8%2026-09-03 22:50