Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović v Coco Gauff

Início: 2026-09-07 23:10 UTC

Final: Iva Jović 0–2 Coco Gauff

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović (Local)

Previsão 26.78%3.73odd justa
EV +2.30%
Vantagem +0.602%
Kelly +0.815%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.50%26.85%26.83%30.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.453.403.8231.75%29.01%29.41%26.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Previsão 73.22%1.37odd justa
EV +0.312%
Vantagem +0.227%
Kelly +0.842%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.82%73.15%73.17%74.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.311.311.3780.00%76.09%76.34%72.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Iva Jović (Local): 26.78%; Coco Gauff (Visitante): 73.22%. Para Iva Jović (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.73. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.82, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.30%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54%EV +2.30%E +0.602%K +0.815%G +0.019%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 23:06
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +0.425%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-07 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.425%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 22:49
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.425%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 23:05
DraftKings🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +0.157%E +0.042%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.28%E -4.90%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 22:45
SportsBet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -0.379%E -0.102%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -6.28%E -4.90%K -22.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 23:09
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.914%E -0.247%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-07 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-07 22:50
FanDuel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 23:10
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.62%E -1.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-07 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 22:40
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 22:40
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.28%E -4.90%K -22.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:00
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 22:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 22:40
ReBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 22:40
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 23:05
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 21:15
MyBookie.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 22:44
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.47%E -6.78%K -33.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 21:40
BetAnything🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 23:06
Betsson🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 22:40
NordicBet🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -8.41%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 21:10
GTbets🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -0.421%E -0.309%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-07 13:55
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 18:25
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 23:05
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 23:10
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:25
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 22:40
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 23:10
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 23:10
Fliff🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 23:10
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 21:55
Fanatics🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 22:55
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 18:25
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -0.421%E -0.309%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 09:55
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:55
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -15.11%E -4.77%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV +0.312%E +0.227%K +0.842%G +0.003%4.5%2026-09-07 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -15.64%E -4.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -1.89%E -1.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 09:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-09-07 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-09-07 23:10
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-09-07 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-07 23:06
ProphetX◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-09-07 23:10
Novig◎3.77I 26.53%NM 26.08%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.92%1.7%2026-09-07 23:00
Smarkets◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-09-07 23:10