Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović v Coco Gauff

2026-09-07 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

31%

69%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović (Local)

Predicción 30.99%3.23momio equitativo

EV +0.703%

Ventaja +0.216%

Kelly +0.312%

Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

28.73%30.96%31.00%32.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.803.023.003.2535.71%33.11%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Predicción 69.01%1.45momio equitativo

EV -2.69%

Ventaja -1.91%

Kelly -6.56%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

67.44%69.04%69.00%71.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.311.381.381.4176.34%72.61%72.46%70.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Iva Jović (Local): 30.99%; Coco Gauff (Visitante): 69.01%. Para Iva Jović (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.23. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.25, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.703%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
FanDuel🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.703%E +0.216%K +0.312%G +0.002%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.06%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-06 08:40
Sky Bet🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.703%E +0.216%K +0.312%G +0.002%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.06%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-06 08:40
SportsBet🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV +0.703%E +0.216%K +0.312%G +0.002%	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -9.59%E -7.32%K -30.94%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-06 08:40
DraftKings🎯	3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -0.227%E -0.070%K -0.102%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -7.52%E -5.61%K -22.12%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-06 03:20
Bovada🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.846%E -0.264%K -0.385%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.06%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-06 08:42
Paddy Power🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -0.846%E -0.264%K -0.385%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.21%E -6.17%K -24.88%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-06 08:40
GTbets🎯	3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -1.47%E -0.461%K -0.672%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.06%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-06 03:30
Coolbet🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.40%E -0.760%K -1.11%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-06 05:35
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.40%E -0.760%K -1.11%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-06 07:55
1xBet🎯	3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -2.71%E -0.862%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.53%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-06 08:45
Pinnacle🎯	3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -3.33%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -2.69%E -1.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-06 06:21
Marathon Bet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.06%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-06 08:40
betano_uk🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.06%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-06 06:49
BoyleSports🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.06%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-06 06:46
BetMGM🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.06%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-06 03:35
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.52%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-06 04:15
Caesars🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.21%E -6.17%K -24.88%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-06 06:39
Betsson🎯	3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -5.18%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.06%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-06 03:25
NordicBet🎯	3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -5.18%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.06%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-06 03:25
LowVig.ag🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.69%E -1.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-06 07:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.69%E -1.91%K -6.56%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-06 07:35
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.07%E -2.93%K -10.44%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-06 07:55
Neds🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 03:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.53%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 03:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-06 03:30
Betclic (FR)🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-06 08:20
Fliff🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.52%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-06 08:45
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -6.42%E -2.13%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-06 03:34
Betway🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-06 03:25
Betr (AU)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-06 06:44
Fanatics🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-06 03:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-06 03:30
NetBet (FR)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.73%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-06 06:26
betfred_uk🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.06%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-06 03:30
theScore Bet🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.14%E -4.51%K -17.06%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-06 03:30
Coral🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.52%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-06 03:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.52%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-09-06 03:35
BetRivers🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:35
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:30
Grosvenor🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:30
Virgin Bet🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:30
Casumo🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:30
Unibet🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:30
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:30
ATG (SE)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:36
Svenska Spel🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:30
betPARX🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:30
Bally Bet🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:30
TABtouch🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-06 06:36
LeoVegas🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.52%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-06 05:30
Bet Right🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-06 03:25
PlayUp🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-06 06:15
888sport🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-06 05:30
William Hill🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-06 05:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-06 05:45
888sport (SE)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.38%E -2.41%K -8.45%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-06 05:45
PMU (FR)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.53%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-06 06:30
TAB🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.14%E -3.50%K -5.34%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.53%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-06 05:55
ReBet🎯	2.84I 35.21%NM 32.06%EV -12.00%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -7.52%E -5.61%K -22.12%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-09-06 03:30
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -13.24%E -4.73%K -7.36%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -8.21%E -6.17%K -24.88%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-09-06 03:30

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%	1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%	0.8%	2026-09-06 08:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%	1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%	0.8%	2026-09-06 08:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%	1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%	0.8%	2026-09-06 08:25
Matchbook◎	3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%	1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%	0.8%	2026-09-06 08:25
Novig◎	3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%	1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%	1.0%	2026-09-06 08:25
ProphetX◎	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%	1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%	1.2%	2026-09-06 08:25
Smarkets◎	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%	1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%	2.7%	2026-09-06 09:10