Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović v Coco Gauff

Inicio: 2026-09-07 23:10 UTC

Final: Iva Jović 0–2 Coco Gauff

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović (Local)

Predicción 26.78%3.73momio equitativo
EV +2.30%
Ventaja +0.602%
Kelly +0.815%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.50%26.85%26.83%30.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.453.403.8231.75%29.01%29.41%26.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Predicción 73.22%1.37momio equitativo
EV +0.312%
Ventaja +0.227%
Kelly +0.842%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.82%73.15%73.17%74.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.311.3780.00%76.09%76.34%72.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Iva Jović (Local): 26.78%; Coco Gauff (Visitante): 73.22%. Para Iva Jović (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.73. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.82, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.30%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 25.54%EV +2.30%E +0.602%K +0.815%G +0.019%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.46%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-07 23:06
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +0.425%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-07 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.425%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 22:49
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.425%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 23:05
DraftKings🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +0.157%E +0.042%K +0.057%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.28%E -4.90%K -22.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-07 22:45
SportsBet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -0.379%E -0.102%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -6.28%E -4.90%K -22.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 23:09
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.914%E -0.247%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-07 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-07 22:50
FanDuel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.25%E -0.617%K -0.850%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 23:10
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.62%E -1.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-07 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-07 22:40
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-07 22:40
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.28%E -4.90%K -22.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 22:00
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 22:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 22:40
ReBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-07 22:40
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 23:05
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 21:15
MyBookie.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 22:44
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.47%E -6.78%K -33.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 21:40
BetAnything🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 23:06
Betsson🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 22:40
NordicBet🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -8.14%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -8.41%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 21:10
GTbets🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -0.421%E -0.309%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-07 13:55
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 18:25
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 23:05
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 23:10
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:25
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 22:40
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 23:10
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 23:10
Fliff🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 23:10
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 21:55
Fanatics🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 22:55
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.35%E -2.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 18:25
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -0.421%E -0.309%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-07 09:55
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:55
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.97%E -3.99%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 09:50
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.18%EV -15.11%E -4.77%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.82%EV +0.312%E +0.227%K +0.842%G +0.003%4.5%2026-09-07 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -15.64%E -4.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -1.89%E -1.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-07 09:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-09-07 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-09-07 23:10
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-09-07 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-09-07 23:06
ProphetX◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93%0.9%2026-09-07 23:10
Novig◎3.77I 26.53%NM 26.08%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.92%1.7%2026-09-07 23:00
Smarkets◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-09-07 23:10