语言:简体中文
Iga Swiatek v Nadia Podoroska
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Iga Swiatek (主队)
预测 95.08%1.05公平赔率
EV -3.02%
优势 -2.96%
Kelly -150.87%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.02
博彩公司预测分布
92.79%95.11%95.00%97.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.011.011.02100.00%99.06%99.01%98.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
Nadia Podoroska (客队)
预测 4.92%20.33公平赔率
EV +76.49%
优势 +2.13%
Kelly +2.19%
增长率 +1.68%
假设最高赔率为 35.88
博彩公司预测分布
2.74%4.89%5.00%7.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
13.0021.0021.0035.887.69%4.76%4.76%2.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Iga Swiatek (主队)：95.08%；Nadia Podoroska (客队)：4.92%。 对于“Nadia Podoroska (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为20.33。 当时有21家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为35.88，对应+76.49%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.26%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 35.88I 2.79%NM 2.74%EV +76.49%E +2.13%K +2.19%G +1.68% | 1.8% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +52.49%E +1.69%K +1.75%G +0.918% | 2.2% | 2026-09-03 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -4.92%E -4.92%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +52.49%E +1.69%K +1.75%G +0.918% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.79%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 30.45I 3.28%NM 3.21%EV +49.78%E +1.63%K +1.69%G +0.842% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +27.89%E +1.07%K +1.12%G +0.311% | 2.9% | 2026-09-01 07:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +27.89%E +1.07%K +1.12%G +0.311% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 03:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +27.89%E +1.07%K +1.12%G +0.311% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 08:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +27.89%E +1.07%K +1.12%G +0.311% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 07:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +22.97%E +0.919%K +0.957%G +0.220% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 10:36 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +22.97%E +0.919%K +0.957%G +0.220% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 09:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +22.97%E +0.919%K +0.957%G +0.220% | 3.0% | 2026-09-01 09:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +13.14%E +0.571%K +0.597%G +0.078% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +13.14%E +0.571%K +0.597%G +0.078% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 08:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 07:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 08:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 21:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 05:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 04:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 04:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -1.62%E -0.081%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 13:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.08%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 4.92%EV -4.08%E -0.209%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.02%E -2.96%K -150.87%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -6.54%E -0.344%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.02%E -2.96%K -150.87%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -6.54%E -0.344%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 10:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.92%E -4.92%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -6.54%E -0.344%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.92%E -4.92%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -6.54%E -0.344%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 07:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.59%EV -4.92%E -4.92%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.41%EV -13.92%E -0.795%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 08:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -16.38%E -0.963%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 13:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -16.38%E -0.963%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 07:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -16.38%E -0.963%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -16.38%E -0.963%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 01:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -21.30%E -1.33%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -23.76%E -1.53%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 10:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -26.22%E -1.75%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -26.22%E -1.75%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -26.22%E -1.75%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 07:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -29.90%E -2.10%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 07:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -31.13%E -2.22%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 12:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -36.05%E -2.77%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 19:34 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.73% | 44.00I 2.27%NM 2.27% | 0.3% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.73% | 44.00I 2.27%NM 2.27% | 0.3% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.73% | 44.00I 2.27%NM 2.27% | 0.3% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.42% | 38.46I 2.60%NM 2.58% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 14:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.76% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03% | 33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 15:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.76% | 44.00I 2.27%NM 2.24% | 1.3% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.65% | 42.02I 2.38%NM 2.35% | 1.4% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |