Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iga Swiatek v Nadia Podoroska

Inizio: 2026-09-03 15:04 UTC

Finale: Iga Swiatek 2–0 Nadia Podoroska

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

40 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iga Swiatek (Casa)

Previsione 95.08%1.05quota equa
EV -3.02%
Vantaggio -2.96%
Kelly -150.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
92.79%95.11%95.00%97.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.011.011.02100.00%99.06%99.01%98.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Nadia Podoroska (Trasferta)

Previsione 4.92%20.33quota equa
EV +76.49%
Vantaggio +2.13%
Kelly +2.19%
Crescita +1.68%

ipotizzando la quota massima 35.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
2.74%4.89%5.00%7.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
13.0021.0021.0035.887.69%4.76%4.76%2.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Iga Swiatek (Casa): 95.08%; Nadia Podoroska (Trasferta): 4.92%. Per Nadia Podoroska (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 20.33. 21 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 35.88, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +76.49%.

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.26%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%35.88I 2.79%NM 2.74%EV +76.49%E +2.13%K +2.19%G +1.68%1.8%2026-09-03 10:55
PlayUp🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +52.49%E +1.69%K +1.75%G +0.918%2.2%2026-09-03 08:45
1xBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -4.92%E -4.92%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +52.49%E +1.69%K +1.75%G +0.918%3.2%2026-09-03 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.79%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%30.45I 3.28%NM 3.21%EV +49.78%E +1.63%K +1.69%G +0.842%2.3%2026-09-03 11:30
BoyleSports🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +27.89%E +1.07%K +1.12%G +0.311%2.9%2026-09-01 07:05
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +27.89%E +1.07%K +1.12%G +0.311%2.9%2026-09-03 03:05
Sky Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +27.89%E +1.07%K +1.12%G +0.311%2.9%2026-09-03 08:40
Paddy Power🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +27.89%E +1.07%K +1.12%G +0.311%2.9%2026-09-03 07:54
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +22.97%E +0.919%K +0.957%G +0.220%3.0%2026-09-02 10:36
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +22.97%E +0.919%K +0.957%G +0.220%3.0%2026-09-01 09:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +22.97%E +0.919%K +0.957%G +0.220%3.0%2026-09-01 09:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +13.14%E +0.571%K +0.597%G +0.078%3.4%2026-09-03 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +13.14%E +0.571%K +0.597%G +0.078%3.4%2026-09-03 08:45
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005%3.8%2026-09-03 07:54
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005%3.8%2026-09-03 08:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005%3.8%2026-09-02 21:00
betfred_uk🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005%3.8%2026-09-02 05:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005%3.8%2026-09-03 04:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005%3.8%2026-09-03 04:20
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005%3.8%2026-09-01 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +3.30%E +0.157%K +0.165%G +0.005%3.8%2026-09-01 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV -1.62%E -0.081%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 13:20
ReBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.08%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%19.50I 5.13%NM 4.92%EV -4.08%E -0.209%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.02%E -2.96%K -150.87%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -6.54%E -0.344%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-01 10:50
Coral🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -3.02%E -2.96%K -150.87%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV -6.54%E -0.344%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-01 10:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.92%E -4.92%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -6.54%E -0.344%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:00
Caesars🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.92%E -4.92%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -6.54%E -0.344%K -0.363%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 07:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.59%EV -4.92%E -4.92%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.41%EV -13.92%E -0.795%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 08:00
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -16.38%E -0.963%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 13:00
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -16.38%E -0.963%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 07:05
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -16.38%E -0.963%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 01:05
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -16.38%E -0.963%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 01:04
Bet Right🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -21.30%E -1.33%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -23.76%E -1.53%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 10:50
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -26.22%E -1.75%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 03:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -26.22%E -1.75%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -26.22%E -1.75%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 07:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -29.90%E -2.10%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 07:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -31.13%E -2.22%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 12:15
betano_uk🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.97%E -3.93%K -396.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -36.05%E -2.77%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 19:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.73%44.00I 2.27%NM 2.27%0.3%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.73%44.00I 2.27%NM 2.27%0.3%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.73%44.00I 2.27%NM 2.27%0.3%2026-09-03 14:55
Novig◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.42%38.46I 2.60%NM 2.58%0.6%2026-09-03 14:35
ProphetX◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.76%0.8%2026-09-03 14:40
Kalshi◎1.02I 98.04%NM 97.03%33.33I 3.00%NM 2.97%1.0%2026-09-02 15:40
Matchbook◎1.01I 99.01%NM 97.76%44.00I 2.27%NM 2.24%1.3%2026-09-03 14:55
Smarkets◎1.01I 99.01%NM 97.65%42.02I 2.38%NM 2.35%1.4%2026-09-03 14:55