Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Katerina Siniakova

Kickoff: 2026-08-31 22:35 UTC

Final: Elisabetta Cocciaretto 0–2 Katerina Siniakova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local)

Prediction 37.85%2.64fair odd
EV -0.445%
Edge -0.169%
Kelly -0.273%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.12%37.87%37.97%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.492.492.6342.02%40.19%40.16%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Katerina Siniakova (Visit)

Prediction 62.15%1.61fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.747%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%62.13%62.03%63.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.541.541.5968.03%65.06%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local): 37.85%; Katerina Siniakova (Visit): 62.15%. For Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.63, with an expected value of -0.445%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -0.445%E -0.169%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 22:20
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.823%E -0.314%K -0.508%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 22:30
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.58%E -0.608%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.67%E -2.37%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 22:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.58%E -0.608%K -0.988%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.64%E -5.88%K -18.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.34%E -0.906%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 22:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -3.09%E -1.21%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.54%E -3.64%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.05%E -1.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-31 22:00
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 22:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.54%E -3.64%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.54%E -3.64%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.47%E -1.36%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 22:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -4.61%E -1.83%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -8.02%E -5.42%K -16.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.54%E -3.64%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 22:00
NordicBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.41%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.59%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 22:00
Betsson🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.41%EV -4.99%E -1.99%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.59%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.19%E -0.747%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.19%E -0.747%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 22:00
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.43%E -1.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 17:40
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.67%E -2.37%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 03:00
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 22:00
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 22:00
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 08:05
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 21:30
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 21:09
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 21:45
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 22:05
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.54%E -3.64%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.54%E -3.64%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 22:05
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.37%E -2.15%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.78%E -4.52%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 04:51
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:20
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:20
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:20
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:20
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:20
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:20
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.12%E -2.47%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -6.88%E -2.80%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -3.05%E -1.96%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -6.88%E -2.80%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.67%E -2.37%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 17:40
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.19%E -0.747%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.67%E -2.37%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 22:00
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.67%E -2.37%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 22:00
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:25
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 21:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.26%E -2.96%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.16%E -4.08%K -12.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -7.64%E -3.13%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -4.29%E -2.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 02:45
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 22:00
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.15%E -3.81%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.92%E -3.21%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 17:41
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.43%E -1.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.43%E -1.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.43%E -1.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 14:55
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.43%E -1.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.91%E -4.16%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.43%E -1.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 20:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-08-31 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-08-31 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-08-31 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-08-31 22:25
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%1.3%2026-08-31 22:15
Novig2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%1.7%2026-08-31 22:30
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.0%2026-08-31 22:31