Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elina Svitolina v Anna Kalinskaya

Início: 2026-09-05 00:40 UTC

Final: Elina Svitolina 1–2 Anna Kalinskaya

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Previsão 69.92%1.43odd justa
EV -2.11%
Vantagem -1.50%
Kelly -5.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.81%70.01%69.87%72.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.311.361.361.4076.34%73.56%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)

Previsão 30.08%3.32odd justa
EV +1.66%
Vantagem +0.490%
Kelly +0.696%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.93%29.99%30.13%31.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.133.103.3833.33%31.94%32.26%29.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Elina Svitolina (Local): 69.92%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante): 30.08%. Para Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.32. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.38, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.66%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -8.40%E -6.41%K -27.10%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV +1.66%E +0.490%K +0.696%G +0.012%5.9%2026-09-04 06:55
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV -2.81%E -2.02%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV -1.35%E -0.412%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-04 14:20
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 11:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 11:39
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:50
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 23:45
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 00:45
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 06:22
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:15
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:15
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.16%E -0.980%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 06:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 23:50
BetAnything🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 07:25
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 09:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 23:45
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.70%E -5.83%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 04:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.36%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:15
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.11%E -1.50%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 06:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 06:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 23:45
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -5.56%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 00:44
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 23:45
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:40
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:40
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 12:40
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 17:54
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 08:40
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 08:40
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 08:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 09:40
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 11:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 23:50
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -7.07%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 23:45
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -7.07%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 23:50
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 08:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 08:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:20
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 06:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 06:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 06:21
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 06:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 06:21
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 06:20
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 06:21
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 06:21
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 06:20
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 06:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 06:20
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 06:20
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 04:36
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 06:20
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 08:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-09-04 14:30
Matchbook◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Novig◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77%3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23%0.9%2026-09-04 14:31
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-09-04 02:05
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-09-04 12:35