Idioma:Español
Elina Svitolina v Anna Kalinskaya
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elina Svitolina (Local)
Predicción 69.92%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -5.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%70.01%69.87%72.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.311.361.361.4076.34%73.56%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)
Predicción 30.08%3.32momio equitativo
EV +1.66%
Ventaja +0.490%
Kelly +0.696%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.93%29.99%30.13%31.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.133.103.3833.33%31.94%32.26%29.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Elina Svitolina (Local): 69.92%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante): 30.08%. Para Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.32. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.66%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.07%EV -8.40%E -6.41%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV +1.66%E +0.490%K +0.696%G +0.012% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%EV -2.81%E -2.02%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%EV -1.35%E -0.412%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 23:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 00:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 06:22 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.25%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.16%E -0.980%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-04 06:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-03 23:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 07:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 09:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 23:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.00%E -5.26%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.70%E -5.83%K -24.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.76%E -1.17%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 04:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.36%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.11%E -1.50%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 06:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 06:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 10:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 23:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.26%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -5.56%E -1.77%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 00:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 23:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 08:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 08:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 08:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 09:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 11:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.76%E -2.18%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -7.07%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.59%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.41%EV -7.07%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 08:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.50%E -2.54%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 08:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.20%E -3.07%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 06:21 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 06:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 06:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 06:21 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 06:21 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.27%E -2.71%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 04:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.90%E -3.61%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 06:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.15%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.77%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 08:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.77% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 29.23% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 12:35 |