Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anastasia Potapova v Tereza Valentova

Kickoff: 2026-09-01 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anastasia Potapova (Local)

Prediction 34.24%2.92fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.358%
Kelly -0.547%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%34.34%34.29%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.752.8938.46%36.28%36.36%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tereza Valentova (Visit)

Prediction 65.76%1.52fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.911%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.66%65.71%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.15%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 34.24%; Tereza Valentova (Visit): 65.76%. For Anastasia Potapova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.89, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -1.03%E -0.358%K -0.547%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -4.00%E -2.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -1.03%E -0.358%K -0.547%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -4.00%E -2.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 00:50
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.38%E -0.478%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 09:40
FanDuel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.38%E -0.478%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 11:15
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -2.06%E -0.721%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.02%E -1.36%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 05:05
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.06%E -0.721%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.34%E -2.27%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 00:50
SportsBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -2.06%E -0.721%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 16:45
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.40%E -0.844%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.34%E -2.27%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.40%E -0.844%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.00%E -2.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-28 11:11
GTbets🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.77%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.12%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 20:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.12%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 11:10
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.12%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 21:19
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.12%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:44
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.12%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 21:25
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.12%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 16:40
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.12%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 01:31
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.12%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.94%E -5.67%K -19.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 11:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -4.46%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 16:43
Marathon Bet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.49%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 14:28
DraftKings🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.49%E -1.99%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.34%E -2.27%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 06:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 21:55
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:15
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 20:35
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 21:01
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 21:40
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 21:40
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 21:40
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 21:50
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:00
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 02:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 22:40
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:41
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 07:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 04:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 01:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 00:55
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 21:05
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 21:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.63%E -4.67%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 00:55
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.83%E -2.12%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.63%E -4.67%K -15.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 14:26
ReBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -7.20%E -2.66%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.54%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.00%E -2.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 11:10
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.54%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.00%E -2.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 11:10
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.54%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.54%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.65%E -3.21%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 17:25
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.54%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.54%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.31%E -3.69%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 11:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.54%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 06:06
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.54%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.63%E -4.67%K -15.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 00:45
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.54%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.63%E -4.67%K -15.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 00:48
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.25%E -3.49%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.97%E -4.17%K -13.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 15:50
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.97%E -4.22%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.37%E -0.911%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.97%E -4.22%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.37%E -0.911%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.97%E -4.22%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.37%E -0.911%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 13:25
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.97%E -4.22%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.37%E -0.911%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-30 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-30 15:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-30 15:35
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.1%2026-08-31 23:30
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%3.0%2026-09-01 00:50
ProphetX2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%3.7%2026-09-01 01:20
Novig2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%4.2%2026-09-01 01:25
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 35.52%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.48%10.0%2026-09-01 01:11