L’École des cotes

Shuai Zhang v Linda Noskova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Prévision 15.33%6.52cote équitable
EV +7.32%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.089%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.37%15.48%15.30%18.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.915.807.0020.00%16.92%17.24%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Linda Noskova (Visiteur)

Prévision 84.67%1.18cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -17.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.43%84.52%84.70%86.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.071.121.121.1593.46%89.40%89.29%86.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betsson7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +7.32%E +1.05%K +1.22%G +0.089%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.56%E -7.92%K -106.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 13:55
NordicBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +7.32%E +1.05%K +1.22%G +0.089%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.56%E -7.92%K -106.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 13:55
FanDuel6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +5.78%E +0.838%K +0.980%G +0.057%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -6.02%E -5.42%K -54.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 13:55
Coolbet6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +2.72%E +0.405%K +0.477%G +0.013%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.02%E -5.42%K -54.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 13:54
Pinnacle6.56I 15.24%NM 14.81%EV +0.571%E +0.087%K +0.103%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.19%EV -3.48%E -3.05%K -24.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 13:55
1xBet6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV +0.264%E +0.040%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 13:51
DraftKings6.53I 15.31%NM 14.64%EV +0.111%E +0.017%K +0.020%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.36%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 13:55
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.349%E -0.054%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.02%E -5.42%K -54.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 13:55
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.349%E -0.054%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 13:55
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -0.349%E -0.054%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.71%E -7.07%K -85.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 13:55
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -0.349%E -0.054%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -9.40%E -8.79%K -134.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-15 13:55
theScore Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -6.02%E -5.42%K -54.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 13:55
PointsBet (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -4.18%E -0.669%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 13:55
ReBet6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -4.95%E -0.798%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 13:49
Fanatics6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.95%E -0.798%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 13:55
NetBet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -4.95%E -0.798%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -8.56%E -7.92%K -106.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 13:52
Marathon Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.01%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 13:54
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.01%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 13:49
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.01%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 13:51
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.01%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 13:55
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.01%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:55
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.01%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:55
LowVig.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -8.63%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -3.48%E -3.05%K -24.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 13:53
BetOnline.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -8.63%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -3.48%E -3.05%K -24.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 13:53
Fliff5.95I 16.81%NM 15.48%EV -8.78%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.52%EV -7.71%E -7.07%K -85.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 13:55
Winamax (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -9.55%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 13:55
Unibet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -9.55%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.02%E -5.42%K -54.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 13:49
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Betclic (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -7.71%E -7.07%K -85.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 13:52
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.85%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:51
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.85%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:54
Hard Rock Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.85%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:55
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.85%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.85%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 13:55
GTbets5.51I 18.15%NM 17.27%EV -15.53%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.73%EV -2.63%E -2.29%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:50
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.48%E -3.05%K -24.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:51
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.48%E -3.05%K -24.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:54
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 13:55
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 13:55
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 13:55
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 13:55
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 13:54
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 13:54
Bally Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -18.75%E -3.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -6.02%E -5.42%K -54.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 13:55
PMU (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -21.81%E -4.28%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 82.39%EV -7.71%E -7.07%K -85.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 13:55
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -23.35%E -4.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.48%E -3.05%K -24.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 13:51
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -23.35%E -4.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.48%E -3.05%K -24.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 13:51
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -23.35%E -4.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-15 13:51
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-04-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-04-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-04-15 13:55
Novig7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%1.2%2026-04-15 13:55
Matchbook7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%1.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16%2.4%2026-04-15 13:55
ProphetX7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54%3.2%2026-04-15 13:55