La escuela de los momios

Shuai Zhang v Linda Noskova

Inicio: 2026-04-15 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Predicción 15.33%6.52momio equitativo
EV +7.32%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.089%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.37%15.48%15.30%18.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.915.807.0020.00%16.92%17.24%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Linda Noskova (Visitante)

Predicción 84.67%1.18momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -2.29%
Kelly -17.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.43%84.52%84.70%86.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.121.121.1593.46%89.40%89.29%86.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betsson7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +7.32%E +1.05%K +1.22%G +0.089%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.56%E -7.92%K -106.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 13:55
NordicBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +7.32%E +1.05%K +1.22%G +0.089%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.56%E -7.92%K -106.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 13:55
FanDuel6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +5.78%E +0.838%K +0.980%G +0.057%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -6.02%E -5.42%K -54.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 13:55
Coolbet6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +2.72%E +0.405%K +0.477%G +0.013%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.02%E -5.42%K -54.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 13:54
Pinnacle6.56I 15.24%NM 14.81%EV +0.571%E +0.087%K +0.103%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.19%EV -3.48%E -3.05%K -24.84%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 13:55
1xBet6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV +0.264%E +0.040%K +0.048%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 13:51
DraftKings6.53I 15.31%NM 14.64%EV +0.111%E +0.017%K +0.020%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.36%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 13:55
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.349%E -0.054%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.02%E -5.42%K -54.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 13:55
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -0.349%E -0.054%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 13:55
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -0.349%E -0.054%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.71%E -7.07%K -85.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 13:55
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -0.349%E -0.054%K -0.064%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -9.40%E -8.79%K -134.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-15 13:55
theScore Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -1.12%E -0.173%K -0.205%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -6.02%E -5.42%K -54.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 13:55
PointsBet (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -4.18%E -0.669%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 13:55
ReBet6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -4.95%E -0.798%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 13:49
Fanatics6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -4.95%E -0.798%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 13:55
NetBet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -4.95%E -0.798%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -8.56%E -7.92%K -106.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 13:52
Marathon Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.01%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 13:54
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.01%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 13:49
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.01%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 13:51
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.01%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 13:55
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.01%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:55
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.01%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.86%E -6.24%K -68.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 13:55
LowVig.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -8.63%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -3.48%E -3.05%K -24.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 13:53
BetOnline.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -8.63%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -3.48%E -3.05%K -24.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 13:53
Fliff5.95I 16.81%NM 15.48%EV -8.78%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.52%EV -7.71%E -7.07%K -85.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 13:55
Winamax (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -9.55%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 13:55
Unibet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -9.55%E -1.62%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.02%E -5.42%K -54.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 13:49
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Betclic (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -11.08%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -7.71%E -7.07%K -85.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 13:52
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.85%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:51
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.85%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:54
Hard Rock Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.85%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:55
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.85%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.85%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 13:55
GTbets5.51I 18.15%NM 17.27%EV -15.53%E -2.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.73%EV -2.63%E -2.29%K -17.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 13:50
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.48%E -3.05%K -24.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:51
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.48%E -3.05%K -24.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 13:54
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 13:55
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 13:55
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.32%E -3.83%K -33.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 13:55
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 13:55
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 13:54
Caesars5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 13:54
Bally Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.68%E -2.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -18.75%E -3.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.68%EV -6.02%E -5.42%K -54.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 13:55
PMU (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -21.81%E -4.28%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 82.39%EV -7.71%E -7.07%K -85.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 13:55
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -23.35%E -4.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.48%E -3.05%K -24.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 13:51
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -23.35%E -4.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.48%E -3.05%K -24.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 13:51
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -23.35%E -4.67%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.17%E -4.62%K -43.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-15 13:51
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-04-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-04-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-04-15 13:55
Novig7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%1.2%2026-04-15 13:55
Matchbook7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%1.7%2026-04-15 13:55
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16%2.4%2026-04-15 13:55
ProphetX7.20I 13.89%NM 13.46%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.54%3.2%2026-04-15 13:55