L’École des cotes

Linda Noskova v Elina Svitolina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 10:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Linda Noskova (Local)

Prévision 37.06%2.70cote équitable
EV +0.794%
Avantage +0.292%
Kelly +0.462%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.39%37.18%37.04%40.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.282.502.502.7243.86%40.07%40.00%36.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elina Svitolina (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.94%1.59cote équitable
EV +1.34%
Avantage +0.831%
Kelly +2.19%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.28%62.82%62.96%64.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.511.6169.44%65.45%66.23%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +1.34%E +0.831%K +2.19%G +0.029%4.7%2026-04-17 08:29
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%1.9%2026-04-17 10:24
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -14.77%E -6.42%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -0.550%E -0.348%K -0.948%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 08:30
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -14.77%E -6.42%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -0.550%E -0.348%K -0.948%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 08:29
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -11.06%E -4.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.18%E -0.751%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 01:34
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -15.51%E -6.80%K -12.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -1.81%E -1.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 08:29
ReBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -8.84%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:00
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.07%E -1.99%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 10:00
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV +0.424%E +0.156%K +0.248%G +0.001%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 10:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 09:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 09:40
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 09:39
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 09:39
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.65%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 10:24
DraftKings2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -4.76%E -1.85%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 10:00
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 10:24
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:19
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.65%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 10:24
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 10:24
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 10:24
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 10:20
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.54%E -0.966%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 10:20
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 10:20
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 10:24
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.65%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 10:24
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.65%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 10:24
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:24
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:24
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:24
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:24
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 09:44
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 10:24
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:44
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:45
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.06%E -4.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 09:59
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +0.794%E +0.292%K +0.462%G +0.004%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 10:24
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +0.794%E +0.292%K +0.462%G +0.004%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 10:24
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -2.17%E -0.822%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 10:19
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -3.28%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 10:24
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.65%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 09:44
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 09:44
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 10:24
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.31%EV -8.47%E -3.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.69%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 10:00
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.65%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.10%E -5.55%K -17.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 10:20
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.65%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.10%E -5.55%K -17.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 10:23
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 10:00
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 10:20
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 10:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-04-17 10:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-04-17 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-04-17 10:24
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-04-17 10:25
ProphetX2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-04-17 10:19
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.3%2026-04-17 10:24
Novig2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%2.4%2026-04-17 10:20