La escuela de los momios

Linda Noskova v Elina Svitolina

Inicio: 2026-04-17 10:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Linda Noskova (Local)

Predicción 37.06%2.70momio equitativo
EV +0.794%
Ventaja +0.292%
Kelly +0.462%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.39%37.18%37.04%40.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.502.502.7243.86%40.07%40.00%36.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elina Svitolina (Visitante)

Predicción 62.94%1.59momio equitativo
EV +1.34%
Ventaja +0.831%
Kelly +2.19%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.28%62.82%62.96%64.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.531.511.6169.44%65.45%66.23%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV +1.34%E +0.831%K +2.19%G +0.029%4.7%2026-04-17 08:29
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -5.88%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%1.9%2026-04-17 10:24
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -12.92%E -5.50%K -9.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV +0.709%E +0.443%K +1.18%G +0.008%5.1%2026-04-17 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -14.77%E -6.42%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -0.550%E -0.348%K -0.948%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 08:30
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -14.77%E -6.42%K -11.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -0.550%E -0.348%K -0.948%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 08:29
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -11.06%E -4.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -1.18%E -0.751%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 01:34
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -15.51%E -6.80%K -12.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -1.81%E -1.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 08:29
ReBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -8.84%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -2.44%E -1.57%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:00
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.07%E -1.99%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 10:00
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV +0.424%E +0.156%K +0.248%G +0.001%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 10:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 09:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 09:40
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 09:39
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.70%E -2.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 09:39
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.65%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 10:24
DraftKings2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -4.76%E -1.85%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 10:00
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 10:24
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.33%E -2.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 10:19
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.65%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 10:24
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 10:24
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 10:24
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.21%E -3.76%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -4.96%E -3.28%K -9.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 10:20
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.54%E -0.966%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 10:20
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 10:20
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 10:24
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.65%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 10:24
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.65%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 10:24
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:24
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:24
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:24
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 10:24
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 09:44
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 10:24
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:44
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:45
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.06%E -4.61%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.59%E -3.72%K -11.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 09:59
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +0.794%E +0.292%K +0.462%G +0.004%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 10:24
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV +0.794%E +0.292%K +0.462%G +0.004%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 10:24
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -2.17%E -0.822%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 10:19
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -3.28%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -6.21%E -4.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 10:24
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.65%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 10:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 09:44
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.84%E -4.62%K -14.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 09:44
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.36%E -2.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 10:24
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.31%EV -8.47%E -3.43%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.69%EV -7.47%E -5.08%K -15.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 10:00
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.65%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.10%E -5.55%K -17.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 10:20
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -3.65%E -1.40%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -8.10%E -5.55%K -17.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 10:23
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.51%E -2.16%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.73%E -6.02%K -19.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 10:00
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 10:20
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.91%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.36%E -6.50%K -21.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 10:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-04-17 10:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-04-17 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-04-17 10:24
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-04-17 10:25
ProphetX2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-04-17 10:19
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%2.3%2026-04-17 10:24
Novig2.83I 35.34%NM 34.49%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%2.4%2026-04-17 10:20