L’École des cotes

Leylah Fernandez v Zeynep Sonmez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 18:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Prévision 60.48%1.65cote équitable
EV +2.21%
Avantage +1.31%
Kelly +3.20%
Croissance +0.071%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%60.67%60.76%64.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.561.551.6968.97%63.99%64.52%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zeynep Sonmez (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.52%2.53cote équitable
EV +5.52%
Avantage +2.07%
Kelly +3.30%
Croissance +0.182%

avec la cote maximale 2.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.66%39.33%39.24%44.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.352.352.6747.62%42.47%42.55%37.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -10.49%E -7.09%K -21.85%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV +5.52%E +2.07%K +3.30%G +0.182%5.0%2026-04-16 18:35
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -12.30%E -8.49%K -27.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +2.75%E +1.06%K +1.72%G +0.047%7.4%2026-04-16 18:35
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.776%E +0.304%K +0.501%G +0.004%4.6%2026-04-16 18:35
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.68%E -5.75%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.776%E +0.304%K +0.501%G +0.004%5.4%2026-04-16 18:35
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.68%E -5.75%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.776%E +0.304%K +0.501%G +0.004%5.4%2026-04-16 18:35
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.68%E -5.75%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.776%E +0.304%K +0.501%G +0.004%5.4%2026-04-16 18:35
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.20%E -0.480%K -0.800%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 18:35
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.68%E -5.75%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.20%E -0.480%K -0.800%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -12.30%E -8.49%K -27.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -1.20%E -0.480%K -0.800%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 18:35
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.18%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 18:35
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.65%E -3.62%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.65%E -3.62%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 18:35
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.65%E -3.62%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 18:35
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.65%E -3.62%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 18:35
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 18:35
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.86%E -4.46%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 18:35
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.28%E -6.19%K -18.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 18:35
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -9.88%E -6.63%K -20.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 18:35
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.86%E -4.46%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 18:35
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.86%E -4.46%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 18:35
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.86%E -4.46%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 18:35
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.86%E -4.46%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 18:35
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 18:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 18:35
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 18:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 18:35
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.34%E -2.67%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 18:35
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.65%E -3.62%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.13%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 18:15
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.13%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 18:35
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.23%E -2.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.92%E -3.40%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -8.68%E -5.75%K -17.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -7.92%E -3.40%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-16 18:35
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.71%E -3.77%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 18:19
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.208%E -0.126%K -0.320%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 18:04
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 18:30
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.05%E -3.21%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:35
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.05%E -3.21%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:35
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 18:15
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 18:35
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -1.42%E -0.870%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -9.50%E -4.15%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 18:15
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +1.61%E +0.956%K +2.36%G +0.038%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -9.89%E -4.34%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 18:15
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.64%EV -10.49%E -7.09%K -21.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.36%EV -9.89%E -4.34%K -7.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-16 18:35
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -10.68%E -4.73%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 18:15
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.208%E -0.126%K -0.320%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 18:04
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.42%E -0.870%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 18:34
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -2.63%E -1.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 18:25
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.23%E -2.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.23%E -2.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:35
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.23%E -2.02%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:25
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.44%E -2.81%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:15
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.05%E -3.21%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 18:34
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +2.21%E +1.31%K +3.20%G +0.071%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -11.47%E -5.12%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 18:35
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.06%E -5.93%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.06%E -5.93%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.06%E -5.93%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -4.44%E -2.81%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -13.06%E -5.93%K -10.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 18:25
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +1.00%E +0.600%K +1.49%G +0.015%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -17.01%E -8.10%K -15.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 18:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-16 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-04-16 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-04-16 18:35
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-04-16 18:35
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%2.6%2026-04-16 18:35
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%3.7%2026-04-16 18:35
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%3.7%2026-04-16 18:35