La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Leylah Fernandez v Zeynep Sonmez
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Leylah Fernandez (Local)
Predicción 60.48%1.65momio equitativo
EV +2.21%
Ventaja +1.31%
Kelly +3.20%
Crecimiento +0.071%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%60.67%60.76%64.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.561.551.6968.97%63.99%64.52%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zeynep Sonmez (Visitante)
Predicción 39.52%2.53momio equitativo
EV +5.52%
Ventaja +2.07%
Kelly +3.30%
Crecimiento +0.182%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.66%39.33%39.24%44.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.352.352.6747.62%42.47%42.55%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -10.49%E -7.09%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV +5.52%E +2.07%K +3.30%G +0.182% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -12.30%E -8.49%K -27.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +2.75%E +1.06%K +1.72%G +0.047% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.776%E +0.304%K +0.501%G +0.004% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.68%E -5.75%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.776%E +0.304%K +0.501%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.68%E -5.75%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.776%E +0.304%K +0.501%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.68%E -5.75%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.776%E +0.304%K +0.501%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.20%E -0.480%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.68%E -5.75%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.20%E -0.480%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -12.30%E -8.49%K -27.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -1.20%E -0.480%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.18%E -1.30%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.65%E -3.62%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.65%E -3.62%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.65%E -3.62%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.65%E -3.62%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.97%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.86%E -4.46%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.28%E -6.19%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -9.88%E -6.63%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.86%E -4.46%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.86%E -4.46%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.86%E -4.46%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.86%E -4.46%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.34%E -2.67%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.65%E -3.62%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.13%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.13%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.23%E -2.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.92%E -3.40%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -8.68%E -5.75%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -7.92%E -3.40%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -8.71%E -3.77%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 18:19 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -0.208%E -0.126%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 18:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 18:30 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.05%E -3.21%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.05%E -3.21%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.47%E -4.88%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| ReBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -1.42%E -0.870%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -9.50%E -4.15%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +1.61%E +0.956%K +2.36%G +0.038% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -9.89%E -4.34%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.64%EV -10.49%E -7.09%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.36%EV -9.89%E -4.34%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -10.68%E -4.73%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -0.208%E -0.126%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 18:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.42%E -0.870%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 18:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -2.63%E -1.63%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.23%E -2.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.23%E -2.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.23%E -2.02%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -4.44%E -2.81%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.05%E -3.21%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.26%E -4.04%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV +2.21%E +1.31%K +3.20%G +0.071% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -11.47%E -5.12%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.06%E -5.93%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.06%E -5.93%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.02%E -1.25%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -13.06%E -5.93%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -4.44%E -2.81%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -13.06%E -5.93%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +1.00%E +0.600%K +1.49%G +0.015% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -17.01%E -8.10%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49% | 2.2% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59% | 2.6% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38% | 3.7% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |
| Novig | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38% | 3.7% | 2026-04-16 18:35 |