L’École des cotes

Eva Lys v Elina Svitolina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Eva Lys (Local)

Prévision 14.68%6.81cote équitable
EV +27.68%
Avantage +3.18%
Kelly +3.59%
Croissance +0.995%

avec la cote maximale 8.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.95%14.69%14.72%20.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.506.045.908.7022.22%16.55%16.95%11.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elina Svitolina (Visiteur)

Prévision 85.32%1.17cote équitable
EV +1.54%
Avantage +1.29%
Kelly +8.08%
Croissance +0.124%

avec la cote maximale 1.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.37%85.31%85.28%89.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.121.121.1995.24%89.36%89.29%84.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV +27.68%E +3.18%K +3.59%G +0.995%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -8.70%E -8.13%K -124.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 19:49
FanDuel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +24.74%E +2.91%K +3.30%G +0.816%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -8.70%E -8.13%K -124.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 19:49
Bet Victor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +17.41%E +2.18%K +2.49%G +0.433%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -9.56%E -9.02%K -159.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 19:49
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +10.07%E +1.34%K +1.55%G +0.156%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -8.70%E -8.13%K -124.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 19:45
DraftKings7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV +7.13%E +0.977%K +1.13%G +0.081%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -5.29%E -4.77%K -48.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 19:50
Betsson7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +6.40%E +0.883%K +1.02%G +0.066%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -8.70%E -8.13%K -124.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 19:50
Winamax (DE)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +6.40%E +0.883%K +1.02%G +0.066%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -8.70%E -8.13%K -124.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 19:50
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV +6.40%E +0.883%K +1.02%G +0.066%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.35%EV -10.41%E -9.91%K -208.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-15 19:48
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.73%E +0.390%K +0.455%G +0.012%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.73%E +0.390%K +0.455%G +0.012%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 19:50
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +2.73%E +0.390%K +0.455%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.85%E -7.27%K -98.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 19:45
theScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +2.73%E +0.390%K +0.455%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.85%E -7.27%K -98.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 19:50
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 19:41
Caesars6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 19:49
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 19:50
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 19:50
NordicBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.00%E -6.42%K -77.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 19:50
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.85%E -7.27%K -98.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 19:50
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -8.70%E -8.13%K -124.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-15 19:50
betPARX6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 19:50
ATG (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 19:50
Hard Rock Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 19:50
PointsBet (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 19:50
Fliff6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -9.01%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.85%E -7.27%K -98.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 19:50
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.58%E -3.17%K -27.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 19:50
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 19:50
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 19:50
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.29%E -4.77%K -48.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 19:50
Grosvenor5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -14.88%E -2.57%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.29%E -4.77%K -48.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 19:50
Virgin Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -14.88%E -2.57%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.29%E -4.77%K -48.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 19:50
Fanatics5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -14.88%E -2.57%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 19:50
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -15.61%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.73%E -2.39%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 19:50
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -15.61%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.73%E -2.39%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 19:50
Casumo5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -15.61%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.73%E -2.39%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 19:50
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -15.61%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.73%E -2.39%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 19:50
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.61%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -15.61%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 19:50
Pinnacle5.65I 17.70%NM 17.28%EV -17.08%E -3.02%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.72%EV +0.683%E +0.579%K +3.79%G +0.026%2.4%2026-04-15 19:39
TABtouch5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -19.28%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.73%E -2.39%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 19:50
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -19.28%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.58%E -3.17%K -27.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 19:50
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -20.75%E -3.84%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -3.58%E -3.17%K -27.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 19:50
Bally Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -20.75%E -3.84%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -3.58%E -3.17%K -27.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 19:50
Marathon Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -22.22%E -4.19%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -1.02%E -0.883%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 19:39
LeoVegas5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -22.22%E -4.19%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 19:50
PMU (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -25.15%E -4.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 82.39%EV -7.00%E -6.42%K -77.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-15 19:50
LowVig.ag5.03I 19.88%NM 19.13%EV -26.18%E -5.21%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.87%EV +1.54%E +1.29%K +8.08%G +0.124%3.9%2026-04-15 19:30
BetOnline.ag5.03I 19.88%NM 19.13%EV -26.18%E -5.21%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.87%EV +1.54%E +1.29%K +8.08%G +0.124%3.9%2026-04-15 19:30
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -28.09%E -5.73%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -0.171%E -0.146%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 19:30
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -28.82%E -5.94%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -0.171%E -0.146%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 19:35
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -28.82%E -5.94%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -0.171%E -0.146%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 19:38
1xBet4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -29.41%E -6.11%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV +1.54%E +1.29%K +8.08%G +0.124%4.8%2026-04-15 19:36
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -29.56%E -6.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -1.88%E -1.63%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 19:30
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -29.56%E -6.16%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -1.88%E -1.63%K -12.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 19:30
SportsBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -31.76%E -6.83%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -0.171%E -0.146%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 19:30
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -32.49%E -7.06%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -1.02%E -0.883%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-15 19:50
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -33.96%E -7.55%K -9.70%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -0.171%E -0.146%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 19:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-04-15 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%1.0%2026-04-15 19:50
Matchbook8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-04-15 19:50
ProphetX8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-04-15 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-04-15 19:50
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%2.5%2026-04-15 19:50
Novig9.01I 11.10%NM 10.70%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.30%3.7%2026-04-15 19:50