Idioma:Español
Eva Lys v Elina Svitolina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Eva Lys (Local)
Predicción 14.68%6.81momio equitativo
EV +27.68%
Ventaja +3.18%
Kelly +3.59%
Crecimiento +0.995%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.95%14.69%14.72%20.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.506.045.908.7022.22%16.55%16.95%11.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elina Svitolina (Visitante)
Predicción 85.32%1.17momio equitativo
EV +1.54%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +8.08%
Crecimiento +0.124%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.37%85.31%85.28%89.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.051.121.121.1995.24%89.36%89.29%84.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Eva Lys (Local): 14.68%; Elina Svitolina (Visitante): 85.32%. Para Eva Lys (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.81. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.70, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +27.68%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV +27.68%E +3.18%K +3.59%G +0.995% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -8.70%E -8.13%K -124.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 19:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +24.74%E +2.91%K +3.30%G +0.816% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -8.70%E -8.13%K -124.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 19:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +17.41%E +2.18%K +2.49%G +0.433% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -9.56%E -9.02%K -159.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 19:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +10.07%E +1.34%K +1.55%G +0.156% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -8.70%E -8.13%K -124.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 19:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV +7.13%E +0.977%K +1.13%G +0.081% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -5.29%E -4.77%K -48.09%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +6.40%E +0.883%K +1.02%G +0.066% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -8.70%E -8.13%K -124.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +6.40%E +0.883%K +1.02%G +0.066% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -8.70%E -8.13%K -124.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV +6.40%E +0.883%K +1.02%G +0.066% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.35%EV -10.41%E -9.91%K -208.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-15 19:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.73%E +0.390%K +0.455%G +0.012% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.73%E +0.390%K +0.455%G +0.012% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +2.73%E +0.390%K +0.455%G +0.012% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.85%E -7.27%K -98.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 19:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +2.73%E +0.390%K +0.455%G +0.012% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.85%E -7.27%K -98.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 19:41 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 19:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.00%E -6.42%K -77.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.85%E -7.27%K -98.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -4.61%E -0.709%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -8.70%E -8.13%K -124.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -8.28%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84%EV -9.01%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.85%E -7.27%K -98.12%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.58%E -3.17%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.95%E -1.99%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.29%E -4.77%K -48.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -14.88%E -2.57%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.29%E -4.77%K -48.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -14.88%E -2.57%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.29%E -4.77%K -48.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -14.88%E -2.57%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -15.61%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.73%E -2.39%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -15.61%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.73%E -2.39%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -15.61%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.73%E -2.39%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -15.61%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -2.73%E -2.39%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.61%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -15.61%E -2.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -6.14%E -5.58%K -61.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.28%EV -17.08%E -3.02%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.72%EV +0.683%E +0.579%K +3.79%G +0.026% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 19:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -19.28%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.73%E -2.39%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -19.28%E -3.51%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.58%E -3.17%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -20.75%E -3.84%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -3.58%E -3.17%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -20.75%E -3.84%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -3.58%E -3.17%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -22.22%E -4.19%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -1.02%E -0.883%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 19:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -22.22%E -4.19%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -4.44%E -3.96%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -25.15%E -4.93%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.39%EV -7.00%E -6.42%K -77.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.13%EV -26.18%E -5.21%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.87%EV +1.54%E +1.29%K +8.08%G +0.124% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.13%EV -26.18%E -5.21%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.87%EV +1.54%E +1.29%K +8.08%G +0.124% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 19:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -28.09%E -5.73%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -0.171%E -0.146%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -28.82%E -5.94%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -0.171%E -0.146%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -28.82%E -5.94%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -0.171%E -0.146%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 19:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.83%EV -29.41%E -6.11%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.17%EV +1.54%E +1.29%K +8.08%G +0.124% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 19:36 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -29.56%E -6.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -1.88%E -1.63%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -29.56%E -6.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -1.88%E -1.63%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -31.76%E -6.83%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -0.171%E -0.146%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -32.49%E -7.06%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -1.02%E -0.883%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -33.96%E -7.55%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -0.171%E -0.146%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 19:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66% | 2.5% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |
| Novig◎ | 9.01I 11.10%NM 10.70% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.30% | 3.7% | 2026-04-15 19:50 |