L’École des cotes

Victoria Mboko v Leylah Fernandez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-21 16:33 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Prévision 54.38%1.84cote équitable
EV +6.05%
Avantage +3.10%
Kelly +6.37%
Croissance +0.385%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.00%54.62%54.14%62.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.681.681.9566.23%59.45%59.52%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leylah Fernandez (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.62%2.19cote équitable
EV +16.32%
Avantage +6.40%
Kelly +10.53%
Croissance +1.72%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.80%45.38%45.86%52.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.152.102.5555.56%46.47%47.62%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetAnything1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -15.70%E -10.13%K -28.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +16.32%E +6.40%K +10.53%G +1.72%3.7%2026-05-21 16:14
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -15.16%E -9.72%K -27.07%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV +11.30%E +4.63%K +7.85%G +0.887%5.1%2026-05-21 16:19
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -11.90%E -7.34%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV +10.85%E +4.46%K +7.58%G +0.823%2.9%2026-05-21 16:20
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -15.70%E -10.13%K -28.55%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV +9.93%E +4.12%K +7.05%G +0.700%6.0%2026-05-21 16:11
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.48%EV -17.88%E -11.84%K -35.06%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.52%EV +9.93%E +4.12%K +7.05%G +0.700%7.7%2026-05-21 16:19
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -13.53%E -8.51%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +9.48%E +3.95%K +6.77%G +0.642%4.6%2026-05-21 16:10
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -14.62%E -9.31%K -25.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +9.48%E +3.95%K +6.77%G +0.642%5.4%2026-05-21 16:19
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.62%E -9.31%K -25.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +8.56%E +3.60%K +6.21%G +0.532%5.7%2026-05-21 16:13
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -10.81%E -6.59%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +7.65%E +3.24%K +5.63%G +0.431%3.3%2026-05-21 16:26
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -10.81%E -6.59%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +7.65%E +3.24%K +5.63%G +0.431%3.3%2026-05-21 16:27
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -14.62%E -9.31%K -25.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +7.20%E +3.06%K +5.33%G +0.384%6.2%2026-05-21 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -16.79%E -10.98%K -31.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +7.20%E +3.06%K +5.33%G +0.384%7.9%2026-05-21 16:19
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -17.34%E -11.41%K -33.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV +7.20%E +3.06%K +5.33%G +0.384%8.3%2026-05-21 16:19
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -11.90%E -7.34%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +5.37%E +2.33%K +4.10%G +0.220%5.0%2026-05-21 16:20
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -14.62%E -9.31%K -25.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +4.92%E +2.14%K +3.78%G +0.186%7.2%2026-05-21 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -14.62%E -9.31%K -25.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +4.92%E +2.14%K +3.78%G +0.186%7.2%2026-05-21 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.63%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.354%E +0.161%K +0.295%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-21 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.63%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.354%E +0.161%K +0.295%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-21 16:30
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.63%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.354%E +0.161%K +0.295%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-21 16:30
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.63%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.354%E +0.161%K +0.295%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-21 16:30
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.63%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.354%E +0.161%K +0.295%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-21 16:30
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.63%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.354%E +0.161%K +0.295%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-21 16:30
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.63%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.354%E +0.161%K +0.295%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-21 16:30
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -1.01%E -0.467%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 16:30
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -9.72%E -5.86%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -1.47%E -0.681%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -9.72%E -5.86%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -1.47%E -0.681%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -9.72%E -5.86%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -1.47%E -0.681%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 16:30
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.81%E -6.59%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -11.35%E -6.97%K -18.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -3.30%E -1.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 16:29
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 16:30
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 16:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.00%E -4.10%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 16:30
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 16:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 16:30
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.27%E -6.22%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 16:30
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -12.98%E -8.12%K -21.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-21 16:30
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.20%E -1.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 16:28
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 16:30
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 16:30
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 16:29
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 16:29
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.94%E -3.40%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.11%E -1.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 16:29
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 16:29
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.00%E -4.10%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -9.72%E -5.86%K -14.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -10.59%E -5.40%K -11.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.11%E -1.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.05%E -5.67%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -12.87%E -6.74%K -14.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 16:29
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV +0.611%E +0.330%K +0.719%G +0.004%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -13.33%E -7.02%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 16:30
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +6.05%E +3.10%K +6.37%G +0.385%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -14.70%E -7.86%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 16:30
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +6.05%E +3.10%K +6.37%G +0.385%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -17.89%E -9.94%K -22.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +6.05%E +3.10%K +6.37%G +0.385%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -17.89%E -9.94%K -22.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-21 16:30
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%2.7%2026-05-21 16:30
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%4.0%2026-05-21 16:30
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%4.8%2026-05-21 16:29