La escuela de los momios

Victoria Mboko v Leylah Fernandez

Inicio: 2026-05-21 16:33 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Predicción 54.38%1.84momio equitativo
EV +6.05%
Ventaja +3.10%
Kelly +6.37%
Crecimiento +0.385%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.00%54.62%54.14%62.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.681.681.9566.23%59.45%59.52%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leylah Fernandez (Visitante)

Predicción 45.62%2.19momio equitativo
EV +16.32%
Ventaja +6.40%
Kelly +10.53%
Crecimiento +1.72%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.80%45.38%45.86%52.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.152.102.5555.56%46.47%47.62%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetAnything1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -15.70%E -10.13%K -28.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +16.32%E +6.40%K +10.53%G +1.72%3.7%2026-05-21 16:14
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -15.16%E -9.72%K -27.07%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV +11.30%E +4.63%K +7.85%G +0.887%5.1%2026-05-21 16:19
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -11.90%E -7.34%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV +10.85%E +4.46%K +7.58%G +0.823%2.9%2026-05-21 16:20
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -15.70%E -10.13%K -28.55%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV +9.93%E +4.12%K +7.05%G +0.700%6.0%2026-05-21 16:11
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.48%EV -17.88%E -11.84%K -35.06%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.52%EV +9.93%E +4.12%K +7.05%G +0.700%7.7%2026-05-21 16:19
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -13.53%E -8.51%K -22.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +9.48%E +3.95%K +6.77%G +0.642%4.6%2026-05-21 16:10
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -14.62%E -9.31%K -25.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +9.48%E +3.95%K +6.77%G +0.642%5.4%2026-05-21 16:19
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -14.62%E -9.31%K -25.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV +8.56%E +3.60%K +6.21%G +0.532%5.7%2026-05-21 16:13
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -10.81%E -6.59%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +7.65%E +3.24%K +5.63%G +0.431%3.3%2026-05-21 16:26
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -10.81%E -6.59%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +7.65%E +3.24%K +5.63%G +0.431%3.3%2026-05-21 16:27
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -14.62%E -9.31%K -25.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +7.20%E +3.06%K +5.33%G +0.384%6.2%2026-05-21 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -16.79%E -10.98%K -31.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +7.20%E +3.06%K +5.33%G +0.384%7.9%2026-05-21 16:19
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -17.34%E -11.41%K -33.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV +7.20%E +3.06%K +5.33%G +0.384%8.3%2026-05-21 16:19
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -11.90%E -7.34%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +5.37%E +2.33%K +4.10%G +0.220%5.0%2026-05-21 16:20
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -14.62%E -9.31%K -25.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +4.92%E +2.14%K +3.78%G +0.186%7.2%2026-05-21 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -14.62%E -9.31%K -25.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +4.92%E +2.14%K +3.78%G +0.186%7.2%2026-05-21 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.63%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.354%E +0.161%K +0.295%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-21 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.63%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.354%E +0.161%K +0.295%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-21 16:30
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.63%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.354%E +0.161%K +0.295%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-21 16:30
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.63%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.354%E +0.161%K +0.295%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-21 16:30
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.63%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.354%E +0.161%K +0.295%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-21 16:30
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.63%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.354%E +0.161%K +0.295%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-21 16:30
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.63%E -5.14%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +0.354%E +0.161%K +0.295%G +0.001%5.0%2026-05-21 16:30
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -1.01%E -0.467%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 16:30
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -9.72%E -5.86%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -1.47%E -0.681%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -9.72%E -5.86%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -1.47%E -0.681%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -9.72%E -5.86%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -1.47%E -0.681%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 16:30
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -10.81%E -6.59%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -2.38%E -1.11%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -11.35%E -6.97%K -18.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -3.30%E -1.55%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.74%E -2.11%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 16:29
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 16:30
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 16:30
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.00%E -4.10%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 16:30
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 16:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 16:30
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.18%E -5.50%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.27%E -6.22%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.21%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-21 16:30
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -12.98%E -8.12%K -21.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-21 16:30
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.20%E -1.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 16:28
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 16:30
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 16:30
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 16:29
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 16:29
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -6.94%E -3.40%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.11%E -1.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 16:29
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 16:29
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.91%E -3.42%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.00%E -4.10%K -9.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 16:29
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -9.72%E -5.86%K -14.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -10.59%E -5.40%K -11.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-21 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.11%E -1.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.05%E -5.67%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -5.37%E -3.09%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -12.87%E -6.74%K -14.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 16:29
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV +0.611%E +0.330%K +0.719%G +0.004%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -13.33%E -7.02%K -14.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 16:30
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV +6.05%E +3.10%K +6.37%G +0.385%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -14.70%E -7.86%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 16:30
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +6.05%E +3.10%K +6.37%G +0.385%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -17.89%E -9.94%K -22.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +6.05%E +3.10%K +6.37%G +0.385%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -17.89%E -9.94%K -22.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-21 16:30
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%2.7%2026-05-21 16:30
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%4.0%2026-05-21 16:30
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%4.8%2026-05-21 16:29