The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Talia Gibson v Shuai Zhang

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 08:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Talia Gibson (Local)

Prediction 52.48%1.91fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.715%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.17%52.43%52.60%53.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.801.8857.80%55.78%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shuai Zhang (Visit)

Prediction 47.52%2.10fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.785%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.37%47.57%47.40%48.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.981.982.0752.63%50.61%50.51%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talia Gibson (Local): 52.48%; Shuai Zhang (Visit): 47.52%. For Talia Gibson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -1.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -1.34%E -0.715%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -6.38%E -3.24%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 07:50
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.92%E -1.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 08:00
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.97%E -2.17%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 07:54
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.02%E -2.77%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 07:45
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.23%E -4.83%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 04:15
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.70%E -5.11%K -10.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 06:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -6.07%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -1.63%E -0.785%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 07:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -6.07%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -1.63%E -0.785%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 07:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.05%E -1.50%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 07:41
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.17%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.33%E -3.76%K -7.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 08:00
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -8.69%E -5.00%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -5.90%E -2.98%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:41
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -8.69%E -5.00%K -11.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -5.90%E -2.98%K -6.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 07:41
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.22%E -5.33%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.95%E -2.48%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-05-17 08:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-05-17 08:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%2.3%2026-05-17 08:21
Novig◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.94%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.06%2.7%2026-05-17 08:21
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.1%2026-05-17 08:15