Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marie Bouzkova v Katerina Siniakova

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 15:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Prediction 43.48%2.30fair odd
EV +0.012%
Edge +0.005%
Kelly +0.009%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.18%43.58%43.42%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.202.3050.00%45.84%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Katerina Siniakova (Visit)

Prediction 56.52%1.77fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.626%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%56.42%56.58%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.661.7563.69%59.98%60.24%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marie Bouzkova (Local): 43.48%; Katerina Siniakova (Visit): 56.52%. For Marie Bouzkova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.2997. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.3000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.012%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.012%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.44%E -5.21%K -13.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 15:40
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.012%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.01%E -5.60%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.012%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.01%E -5.60%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +0.012%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.01%E -5.60%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.858%E -0.376%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.05%E -3.01%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-18 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.858%E -0.376%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.05%E -3.01%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-18 15:40
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -1.73%E -0.764%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.16%E -0.961%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.05%E -3.01%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 15:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.16%E -0.961%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.62%E -3.36%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 15:40
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -2.16%E -0.961%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.01%E -5.60%K -14.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 15:40
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.03%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 15:40
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.03%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.03%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 15:41
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.03%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 15:40
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.03%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 15:40
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.03%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.03%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 15:41
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.03%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 15:41
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.03%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 15:41
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.03%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 15:41
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.03%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 15:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.03%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 15:41
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.03%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 15:41
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.05%E -3.01%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 15:39
ReBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -3.90%E -1.77%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -5.05%E -3.01%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 15:38
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.49%E -2.66%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 15:37
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.05%E -3.01%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 15:40
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.62%E -3.36%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 15:40
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.62%E -3.36%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 15:39
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -11.27%E -7.18%K -19.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 15:40
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -5.21%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -1.10%E -0.626%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 15:41
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.21%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.05%E -3.01%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 15:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.21%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.05%E -3.01%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 15:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.21%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.18%E -3.72%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 15:38
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.21%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 15:41
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.21%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 15:41
DraftKings🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.08%E -2.81%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -5.05%E -3.01%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 15:40
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.49%E -2.66%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 15:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.05%E -3.01%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 15:38
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.05%E -3.01%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 15:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.62%E -3.36%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 15:37
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -7.31%E -4.46%K -11.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 15:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.44%E -5.21%K -13.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 15:40
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -7.38%E -3.46%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -2.79%E -1.62%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 15:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.82%E -3.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 15:37
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.68%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.23%E -1.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 15:40
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.68%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.36%E -1.96%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 15:40
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.68%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.62%E -3.36%K -8.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 15:28
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.68%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.75%E -4.09%K -10.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 15:40
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -8.68%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -8.44%E -5.21%K -13.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-18 15:41
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -2.23%E -1.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 15:40
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -3.36%E -1.96%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 15:40
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.92%E -2.31%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.92%E -2.31%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.92%E -2.31%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 15:40
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.86%E -5.30%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.92%E -2.31%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 15:40
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -13.03%E -6.52%K -13.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.92%E -2.31%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 15:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-05-18 15:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-05-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-18 15:41
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-05-18 15:41
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-05-18 15:40
Novig2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%4.1%2026-05-18 15:40