Language:English
Maria Sakkari v Peyton Stearns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Prediction 51.53%1.94fair odd
EV -0.549%
Edge -0.284%
Kelly -0.590%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%51.32%51.56%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.841.831.9357.80%54.47%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Peyton Stearns (Visit)
Prediction 48.47%2.06fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.790%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%48.68%48.44%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.952.0355.56%51.35%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Sakkari (Local): 51.53%; Peyton Stearns (Visit): 48.47%. For Maria Sakkari (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -0.549%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -0.549%E -0.284%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92%EV -9.84%E -5.29%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -2.09%E -1.10%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -12.75%E -7.08%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.13%E -1.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.06%E -1.53%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.16%E -2.23%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.06%E -1.53%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-17 07:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.67%E -2.52%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.03%E -2.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.67%E -2.52%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.51%E -2.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.67%E -2.52%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.51%E -2.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.67%E -2.52%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.51%E -2.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 09:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.67%E -2.52%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 09:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.67%E -2.52%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.67%E -2.52%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 06:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.67%E -2.52%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.42%E -3.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 09:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -4.67%E -2.52%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.87%E -4.72%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.19%E -2.82%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.51%E -2.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.19%E -2.82%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.00%E -2.55%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.19%E -2.82%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.00%E -2.55%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.19%E -2.82%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.00%E -2.55%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.19%E -2.82%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.00%E -2.55%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.06%E -1.53%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 07:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.03%E -2.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 07:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.42%E -3.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 06:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.42%E -3.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 06:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.87%E -4.72%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 06:36 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.87%E -4.72%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 06:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.03%E -2.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 07:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.00%E -2.55%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.00%E -2.55%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.00%E -2.55%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 07:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.00%E -2.55%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.48%E -2.81%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 09:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.42%E -3.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.42%E -3.89%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -7.76%E -4.34%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -1.60%E -0.790%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.85%E -6.27%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.06%E -1.53%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.4% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.4% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.7% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72% | 2.6% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |