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Anastasia Zakharova v Daria Kasatkina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anastasia Zakharova (Local)
assuming max odds 3.61
Daria Kasatkina (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.35
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Zakharova (Local): 27.75%; Daria Kasatkina (Visit): 72.25%. For Anastasia Zakharova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.173%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV +0.173%E +0.048%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -5.35%E -4.08%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.105%E -0.029%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.88%E -0.823%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.07%E -4.67%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -2.88%E -0.823%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -8.96%E -7.11%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -4.54%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -4.54%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -4.63%E -3.51%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.65%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.52%E -5.87%K -26.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 04:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.46%E -1.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.07%E -4.67%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.80%E -5.27%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 04:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.07%E -4.67%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.20%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.07%E -4.67%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 08:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -12.59%E -4.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.07%E -4.67%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 10:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |