La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.14
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28
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| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -23.67%E -15.37%K -43.82%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV +14.99%E +6.57%K +11.71%G +1.75% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 12:33 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -20.69%E -12.93%K -34.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +13.47%E +5.99%K +10.78%G +1.45% | 6.9% | 2026-05-18 12:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -16.73%E -9.96%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +8.93%E +4.14%K +7.70%G +0.688% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 12:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +0.864%E +0.432%K +0.864%G +0.007% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -15.73%E -9.26%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +0.864%E +0.432%K +0.864%G +0.007% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.66%E -0.850%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.66%E -0.850%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.66%E -0.850%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.16%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.95%EV +0.623%E +0.307%K +0.605%G +0.004% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-18 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.20%E -3.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.20%E -3.33%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 12:29 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.864%E -0.432%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 12:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.864%E -0.432%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.21%E -4.51%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 12:26 |
| ReBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.864%E -0.432%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.21%E -4.51%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 12:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -8.21%E -4.51%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 12:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -8.21%E -4.51%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.61%E +0.787%K +1.54%G +0.025% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.61%E +0.787%K +1.54%G +0.025% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.864%E -0.432%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 12:16 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -1.86%E -0.937%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 12:18 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -1.86%E -0.937%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -1.86%E -0.937%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 12:26 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 12:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +0.127%E +0.063%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -10.23%E -5.75%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -1.86%E -0.937%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -10.74%E -6.07%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -1.86%E -0.937%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -10.74%E -6.07%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -10.74%E -6.07%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -10.74%E -6.07%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -8.79%E -4.78%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -11.24%E -6.39%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.74%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.74%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.74%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.74%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.74%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.74%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.864%E -0.432%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.74%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +4.09%E +1.95%K +3.72%G +0.152% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -12.25%E -7.04%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 12:24 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV +2.11%E +1.02%K +1.99%G +0.042% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -12.25%E -7.04%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV +2.11%E +1.02%K +1.99%G +0.042% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -12.25%E -7.04%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +1.61%E +0.787%K +1.54%G +0.025% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -12.75%E -7.37%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +1.61%E +0.787%K +1.54%G +0.025% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -12.75%E -7.37%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +1.61%E +0.787%K +1.54%G +0.025% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -12.75%E -7.37%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.864%E -0.432%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.75%E -7.37%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -1.36%E -0.683%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -12.75%E -7.37%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 12:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV +6.08%E +2.84%K +5.33%G +0.324% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -13.76%E -8.05%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 12:36 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV +0.127%E +0.063%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -13.76%E -8.05%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -0.864%E -0.432%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -14.27%E -8.39%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -16.28%E -9.81%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20% | 3.6% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |
| Novig | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 12:35 |