L’École des cotes

Alexandra Eala v Oleksandra Oliynykova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 12:38 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Prévision 49.57%2.02cote équitable
EV +6.08%
Avantage +2.84%
Kelly +5.33%
Croissance +0.324%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.42%50.44%48.94%59.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.951.982.1464.94%51.31%50.51%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.43%1.98cote équitable
EV +14.99%
Avantage +6.57%
Kelly +11.71%
Croissance +1.75%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.31%49.56%51.06%55.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.821.802.2860.24%54.80%55.56%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -23.67%E -15.37%K -43.82%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV +14.99%E +6.57%K +11.71%G +1.75%8.8%2026-05-18 12:33
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -20.69%E -12.93%K -34.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +13.47%E +5.99%K +10.78%G +1.45%6.9%2026-05-18 12:34
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -16.73%E -9.96%K -24.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV +8.93%E +4.14%K +7.70%G +0.688%5.8%2026-05-18 12:34
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -12.26%E -6.93%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +0.864%E +0.432%K +0.864%G +0.007%6.5%2026-05-18 12:35
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -15.73%E -9.26%K -22.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +0.864%E +0.432%K +0.864%G +0.007%8.8%2026-05-18 12:35
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.66%E -0.850%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 12:35
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.30%E -4.49%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.66%E -0.850%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 12:35
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.66%E -0.850%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 12:35
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.16%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:35
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.29%E -5.08%K -11.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 12:35
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.78%E -5.99%K -13.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.67%E -1.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 12:35
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.83%E -2.52%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 12:20
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.95%EV +0.623%E +0.307%K +0.605%G +0.004%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.05%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-18 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.20%E -3.33%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 12:35
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.84%E -1.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.20%E -3.33%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 12:29
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.864%E -0.432%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 12:35
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.31%E -3.91%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 12:30
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.864%E -0.432%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.21%E -4.51%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 12:26
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -0.864%E -0.432%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -8.21%E -4.51%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 12:19
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -8.21%E -4.51%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 12:29
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -8.21%E -4.51%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 12:35
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.61%E +0.787%K +1.54%G +0.025%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 12:20
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.61%E +0.787%K +1.54%G +0.025%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 12:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.864%E -0.432%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 12:16
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -1.86%E -0.937%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 12:18
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -1.86%E -0.937%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 12:20
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -1.86%E -0.937%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 12:26
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 12:20
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.34%E -1.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 12:35
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 12:35
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 12:35
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 12:35
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.82%E -3.06%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.22%E -5.12%K -11.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 12:25
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV +0.127%E +0.063%K +0.125%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -10.23%E -5.75%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -1.86%E -0.937%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -10.74%E -6.07%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 12:20
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -1.86%E -0.937%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -10.74%E -6.07%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 12:20
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -2.35%E -1.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -10.74%E -6.07%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -5.33%E -2.79%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -10.74%E -6.07%K -13.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 12:35
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -8.79%E -4.78%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -11.24%E -6.39%K -14.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-18 12:35
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.74%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:35
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.74%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:35
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.74%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:35
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.74%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:35
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.74%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:35
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +3.10%E +1.49%K +2.87%G +0.089%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -11.74%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:35
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.864%E -0.432%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.74%E -6.71%K -15.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 12:35
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +4.09%E +1.95%K +3.72%G +0.152%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -12.25%E -7.04%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 12:24
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV +2.11%E +1.02%K +1.99%G +0.042%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -12.25%E -7.04%K -16.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 12:35
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV +2.11%E +1.02%K +1.99%G +0.042%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -12.25%E -7.04%K -16.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 12:35
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +1.61%E +0.787%K +1.54%G +0.025%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -12.75%E -7.37%K -17.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 12:35
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +1.61%E +0.787%K +1.54%G +0.025%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -12.75%E -7.37%K -17.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 12:35
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV +1.61%E +0.787%K +1.54%G +0.025%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -12.75%E -7.37%K -17.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 12:35
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.864%E -0.432%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.75%E -7.37%K -17.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 12:20
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -1.36%E -0.683%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -12.75%E -7.37%K -17.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 12:20
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV +6.08%E +2.84%K +5.33%G +0.324%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -13.76%E -8.05%K -19.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 12:36
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV +0.127%E +0.063%K +0.125%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -13.76%E -8.05%K -19.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -0.864%E -0.432%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -14.27%E -8.39%K -20.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 12:35
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -2.85%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -16.28%E -9.81%K -24.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-18 12:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-18 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-18 12:35
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-05-18 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-18 12:35
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%3.6%2026-05-18 12:35
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%4.6%2026-05-18 12:35